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Offline ronfishes  
#581 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 4:58:58 PM(UTC)
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Crossing also changed to pm now. Gonna be a moist night and day I think
Records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm (no records April-Sept)
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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Weary  
#582 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 5:23:24 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: ronfishes Go to Quoted Post
Crossing also changed to pm now. Gonna be a moist night and day I think


And more time spin up over that nice warm water...

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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#583 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 5:46:53 PM(UTC)
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Yep, warm out there, my sounder was reading 28.something in 60m last weekend. Should het a good show on the radar anyway.
Records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm (no records April-Sept)
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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Dormant  
#584 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 5:57:30 PM(UTC)
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Hmmm, the longer its out there...over water.
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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#585 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:06:56 PM(UTC)
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That track looks like it hits the 800 metre peaks of the Featherbeds & takes a detour. Bugger...
Offline ronfishes  
#586 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:08:14 PM(UTC)
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About 40mm of nice steady rain this arvo. Only one sort of squally bit when it first came over.
Records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm (no records April-Sept)
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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Weary  
#587 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:11:22 PM(UTC)
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From the latest JTWC forecast (19:00)

THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE PEAK
INTENSITY AS MIDGET CYCLONES CAN RAPIDLY INTENSIFY UNEXPECTEDLY.
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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#588 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:14:36 PM(UTC)
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A spectacular 4mm. 😑
Offline Hickory  
#589 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:35:16 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Weary Go to Quoted Post

.... BTW. Does anyone know where all the cyclone nerds have gone to so they can argue about the finer technical details online?



Who cares. BigGrin BigGrin

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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Weary  
#590 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:45:14 PM(UTC)
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Cardwell is looking good for a crossing the way things are changing atm
FF898554-F54B-48D4-8E94-37DDA8DD515A.png
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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC), monkeybusiness on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#591 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:54:39 PM(UTC)
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😂
Records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm (no records April-Sept)
Offline 28degrees  
#592 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:02:48 PM(UTC)
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Geez there goes our rain, again. Lol.

So is this the crazy way midget cyclones behave? Looks like the low could do a loop & come our way in any case. 🥱🥱
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monkeybusiness on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Weary  
#593 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:11:12 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: 28degrees Go to Quoted Post
Geez there goes our rain, again. Lol.

So is this the crazy way midget cyclones behave? Looks like the low could do a loop & come our way in any case. 🥱🥱


If goes that way it dodges the Featherbeds

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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#594 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:12:54 PM(UTC)
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Smart Kimi.

Notice JTWC second advice has not changed the track. Do they know something we don't? Is BOM just keeping us entertained?

Edited by user Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:15:09 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Offline Weary  
#595 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:21:27 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: 28degrees Go to Quoted Post
Smart Kimi.

Notice JTWC second advice has not changed the track. Do they know something we don't? Is BOM just keeping us entertained?


When you read the detail of the JTWC report they are basically saying they have NFI where it’s going to go.
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DelBoy on 17/01/2021(UTC), Paul Atkins on 17/01/2021(UTC), 28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline beej  
#596 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:58:32 PM(UTC)
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Hey all,

Nothing to report this way for the week. If we are to believe the latest EC model, we're in for a wet night up here at least starting from 7.00PM, but nothing as yet. GFS won't have a bar of it, so have to tend to agree with their forecast so far. Early days though. I tried to attach EC's 11.00 PM forecast from Windy because it was pretty full on, but still trying to learn how to do this stuff!

Notice JTWC's 7.00PM report hasn't really moved from their previous path prediction for Kimi, apart from an earlier crossing. Interesting to see what we wake up to??

cheers


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DelBoy on 17/01/2021(UTC), monkeybusiness on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline beej  
#597 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:04:24 PM(UTC)
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Bugger,

Sorry 28 and Weary, just read your last posts.. I had better get this attachment stuff sorted out and keep up with the times hey!
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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#598 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:29:32 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: beej Go to Quoted Post

Bugger,

Sorry 28 and Weary, just read your last posts.. I had better get this attachment stuff sorted out and keep up with the times hey!


I keep answering before I've read all the posts too.


You north or south of Cairns beej?
Offline beej  
#599 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:33:55 PM(UTC)
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From Julatten here 28.

Edited by user Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:37:50 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#600 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:42:01 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: beej Go to Quoted Post
From Julatten here 28.


So slightly inland, but not by much. Do you get a lot more rain than Mount Molloy?
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