The T word is a bit all over the place ATM for Brisbane. Just using the basics you can see there is no agreement with the models but still it is over 5-6 days off. Still a chance though although not a real stand out “yeah” one yet. Maybe we have to send Ken on holiday again.

GFS isn’t showing much interest, so just posting figures 1 & 2 the LI’s and forecast sounding from this afternoon run for 16:00 Sat. Arvo which had the best chance. Very coastal at this point. I will just post those 2 charts I have the sheer etc but will wait until we get closer and hopefully things will improve.




Now Meteye is happy as Larry the Lizard and showing a widespread chance for Saturday and couple of other days too.

Figure 3



And EC, will it is showing storms around 03:00 Sunday morning. Sounding included.
Figures 4 & 5




Just have to see how it unfolds as we draw closer. We are all storm deprived. Winter deprived and rain deprived. But I think we have had enough of the heat though.

Cheers
Colin