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Posted by: Aussie Girl Offline Posted: Thursday, 6 March 2025 9:22:46 PM(UTC)
Originally Posted by: Colmait Go to Quoted Post
Winds are picking up here in the Moreton Shire as at 10:30. Unfortunately I will be honest, BoM have really done a terrible job on this. Yesterday afternoon I was watching the satellite and said to my wife that the TC is actually moving to the Northeast, away from the Coast. It did so for some time and there was no mention of that by BoM. The update continued to say the TC was moving West at 14 km/h.

Later on Wednesday evening it starting to move back towards the Coast. Then it stalled overnight. This morning at 4:00am in was very slowly moving to the west but had over 345km to travel.

This information came from observations by myself, the News talking to a representative from the airport and what their meteorologist had observed on the models and also from a write up by Anthony Cornelius, a meteorologist from Weather Watch.

I do not understand fully why BoM have dropped the ball on this. Even the representative at the press conference at Kedron Emergency Service Centre, really struggled to give us a clear understanding of what was happening, she read the whole report and it came across that she had no idea. Sorry for being so negative but I am not the only one.

Is all the information coming from Sydney and they are not liaising with the Queensland meteorologist???? Something is not right.

We should be getting hourly updates at least from now on.!

But here is the latest image of TC Alfred. Once again, but sorry for the rant.



That is very interesting Colmait. I wonder about BOM myself at times. I remember reading or hearing that some years ago the guys on a weather forum made an accurate call on the Grantham floods before BOM did (I think it was the Grantham one). Hopefully BOM get the forecast right for the rest of this cyclone.



The latest cyclone advice from BOM at 7.50pm this evening states that Alfred is 225 east of Brisbane and moving west northwest at 6km/hour.


This is the latest track map showing a crossing Saturday morning north of Brisbane:

Cyclone Track Map 7.58pm 6.3.25.JPG







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