I haven’t really done a full breakdown for the weekend as yet as the models are not certain what will be the outcome. EC is going in the strongest with some widespread storms while GFS, which seems to handle this corner of the forecast area very well, is just not excited over the potential. In fact the sounding in two of the forecast has a cap of 32°C. Imagine the temperature and dew points needed to break that. It show very little cape.

So it really is a wait until tomorrow or Saturday and see if we can get some consensus between a few models. I wouldn’t rule anything out but at the same time I have seen a few posts come up in my feeds of a massive storm day.

Here is EC showing a more stronger inland storm path for Saturday then on Sunday more of a shower or 2.





GFS is light on with some potential inland on Saturday morning then teetering out towards the afternoon and Sunday.





Best thing to do is to keep a watch on the weather and see what happens over the next 24-48 hours.