Welcome Guest! To enable all features please
Login
or
Register
.
Forum
Active Topics
Search
Help
Login
Register
Notification
Error
OK
Weather Forum
Report Post
Posted by:
Ken
Posted:
Monday, 14 October 2019 8:10:23 AM(UTC)
1st graphic above - the EC ensemble's latest suggestion for early Tuesday morning re probabilities of precip between 4am and 7am.
2nd graphic - EC deterministic for 1am-4am and 4am-7am.
Early Tuesday morning looks like featuring a small area of localised shower activity in the far SE corner and NE NSW, perhaps even with some thunder (although the latter is a bit less than certain atm).
Rainfall amounts don't look impressive at all though, nor long-lasting. Nothing like Fri/Sat.
One of the contributors appears to be a small weak low (most noticeable at the surface to 850hpa levels) drifting across inland QLD/NSW border areas that extends up through to the mid levels more as a very short wavelength trough... and a nocturnal low level jet ahead of it which may also help to inject some additional moisture into the region.
There's fairly noticeable low level capping around that time so most convection may initiate from mildly unstable parcels rising from somewhat aloft rather than purely from the surface.
Wednesday might see some inland locations having the outside chance of a shower or storm.
But Thursday's still looking interesting with much stronger instability and shear so wouldn't rule out severe storms somewhere.
Please enter the reason you're reporting this post:
Font Color
Default
Dark Red
Red
Orange
Brown
Yellow
Green
Olive
Cyan
Blue
Dark Blue
Indigo
Violet
White
Black
Font Size
1
2
3
4
Default
6
7
8
9
[YOUTUBE]Put YouTube URL in here[/YOUTUBE]
[VIMEO]https://www.vimeo.com/xxxxxxx[/VIMEO]
[HIDE-THANKS=x]The tag hides content from people who have below then X thanks received.[/HIDE-THANKS]
[HIDE-REPLY-THANKS]The tag hides content from people until they either reply in the same thread or press the thank you button for the post.[/HIDE-REPLY-THANKS]
[HIDE-REPLY]The tag hides content from people until they replied in the same thread.[/HIDE-REPLY]
[GROUP-HIDE]Hide the Content from Guests, or other Roles if defined.[/GROUP-HIDE]
[GOOGLEWIDGET]<script src="url"></script>[/GOOGLEWIDGET]
[dailymotion]Enter Dailymotion Url (http://www.dailymotion.com/video/xxxx)[/dailymotion]
[HIDE-POSTS=x]The tag hides content from people who have below then X posts.[/HIDE-POSTS]
[GOOGLEMAPS]Enter Google Maps Url[/GOOGLEMAPS]
[ALBUMIMG]Enter a Album Image Number[/ALBUMIMG]
[ATTACH]Enter a Attachment ID[/ATTACH]
[INSTAGRAM][localization=INSTAGRAM_DESCRIPTION]Put the Instagram URL Here[/INSTAGRAM]
[FACEBOOK]Enter the Url of the post or the Embed Code of the Post you want to embed[/FACEBOOK]
[SPOILER]Put Spoiler Text in here[/SPOILER]
[HIDE]This tag hides content from people until they press the thank you button for the post.[/HIDE]
[USERLINK]Put User Name Here[/USERLINK]
Plain Text
Bash(shell)
C
C++
C#
CSS
Git
HTML
Java
JavaScript
Python
SQL
XML
Visual Basic
Loading...
Report
Cancel
Privacy Policy
|
Powered by YAF.NET
|
YAF.NET © 2003-2025, Yet Another Forum.NET
This page was generated in 0.041 seconds.
Important Information:
The Weather Forum uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies.
More Details
Close
Weather Forum
Weatherzone Forum Alternative
The Weather Forum for Australia
Australian Weather Forum
Weather Forum for Australia, climate change, storm chasing, cyclones, weather photography