BoM take on Uesi, easier to follow.

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810

Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:36 pm EST on Tuesday 11 February 2020
for the period until midnight EST Friday 14 February 2020.
Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:
None.
Potential Cyclones:

At 2pm AEST Monday, Tropical Cyclone Uesi, category 3, was located east of the Eastern Region (east of 160E) near latitude 19.4 degrees south, longitude 162.7 degrees east, about 180km northwest of New Caledonia. Tropical cyclone Uesi was moving slowly south.
Tropical cyclone Uesi is expected to continue moving south in the next 24 hours and then take a more southwestwards track from late tomorrow. On this track, it will enter the far southern parts of the Eastern Region by late week. The cyclone is expected to weaken as a tropical system or may undergo extra-tropical transition as it enters the region. Despite its tropical status, the system is likely to maintain a strong core with gale to storm force winds on its eastern quadrants with heavy rainfall as it moves closer and to the west of Lord Howe Island late Friday or on Saturday.
For more information on tropical cyclone Uesi, refer to the Fiji Meteorological Service web page at: http://met.gov.fj

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Wednesday:Very low
Thursday:Low
Friday:Moderate