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Posted by: ronfishes Offline Posted: Saturday, 20 January 2024 3:08:38 PM(UTC)
This from the BoM at 10;45am:

"Tropical Low 05U
Likely tropical cyclone impact on the Queensland coast from mid next week.

A tropical low (05U) is developing in the Coral Sea, well away from the Queensland coast.
The tropical low will strengthen over the weekend, and is likely to become a tropical cyclone by Monday.
The low is currently slow moving, but is expected to move on a general southerly or south southwesterly track over the weekend and into early next week.
There remains some uncertainty in the movement of the system next week. However, although the cyclone remaining off the coast cannot be ruled out, a coastal impact on Queensland is now considered more likely than not.
The most likely zone for a coastal crossing is between about Cooktown and Mackay, somewhat more likely south of Cairns.
A severe impact remains possible, particularly if the system crosses south of Cairns.
If it were to cross the coast, the system is then expected to move further south over land, bringing heavy rainfall to areas well south of the crossing zone late in the week or over the weekend.
Communities on the east coast of Queensland are advised to stay up to date with forecasts and warnings."

Trying to move into my new shed from my rental shed this week, bloody tough in the mud lol. Around 20mm last night, and steady sort of light rain since late morning today.
Off to check models runs now
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