I started this thread so everyone on the forum can post and join in. I was always taught to put the weather into simple terms so everyone can understand but I can also be very technical if needed. So if you are a member and haven’t posted yet or someone who would like to post a technical post please join in. I am not making light of the serious nature of the tropical low and possible cyclone but just encouraging anyone to post.

Colin.

Some interesting long range forecast being thrown around by the different modelling systems for SEQLD. It is still a long way out so things can change but worth keeping an eye on the models and see how they fair.
These are all for the same timeframe of January 24, except for the ECMWF which only has run till the 20 January.

GFS Model is the most aggressive



CMC has the same low but further to the East.



NAVGEM



ECMFW, run stops at January 20.



As I said before, it is still a long way out and things can change with each run of the models. But worth keeping an eye on them just in case.