The latest Advisory update 3 for Possible Cyclone. The only reason I say possible is due to the lack of structure at this very point in time. Still quite messy on the Satellite Imagery. But this could change over the next 12-24 hours.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
Issued at 4:44 pm EST on Monday 22 January 2024
Headline:
Tropical cyclone impact likely on the Queensland coast from Wednesday.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
None.

Watch Zone
Cairns to St Lawrence (not including Cairns), including Townsville, Mackay and the Whitsunday Islands .

Cancelled Zone
None.

Details of Tropical Low at 4:00 pm AEST [3:30 pm ACST]:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 55 kilometres of 15.6 degrees South 153.9 degrees East, estimated to be 860 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 425 kilometres east of Willis Island.

Movement: slow moving.

A tropical low (05U) is slow moving in the central Coral Sea and is likely to become a tropical cyclone during late Tuesday. This system is forecast to track southwest over the next few days towards the Queensland coast as it intensifies.

The system is forecast to cross the coast, most likely on Thursday between Innisfail and Airlie Beach. From Friday, the system is forecast to move inland and then further south.

Track path



And the latest Meteye with its metadata forecasting.