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Posted by: Colmait Offline Posted: Friday, 2 February 2024 6:31:42 AM(UTC)
Pleasant morning this morning again. But unfortunately it looks like they will start heating up a little with overnight temperatures expected to rise again. Not as bad as the heatwave at this point.

As for Southeast QLD and NSW the chances of showers/rain and storms are just about nil. 99.99% positive it will be a dry day. Below is the Li chart, I use it to mainly show where the action is. And once again it is all in the North under the influence of Ex Kirrily and the heatwave that has a saturated atmosphere that can produce heavy rain and storms.
So here is the
1. SkewT: very stable as regard thunderstorms and quite dry
2. Is the Li’s chart.
3. Raincast.

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IMG_3694.jpeg

As for ex Kirrily, the models are all over the place once again, with one model throwing another, fourth Cyclone into the mix, this one develops in the Gulf.
So I have just posted the 4 day access and Auswave 4 day chart again. I don’t think it fully knows either. Models have Ex Kirrily hitting Melbourne , hitting Sydney and some existing SEQLD???? The Coral sea Low is all over the place with Catastrophic to continuing an Eastward movement.

So the best thing is to wait and keep watching and not get caught up in the hype.

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