This week has been a good example to show how you cannot fully lock in a predicted forecast model. The system that was supposed to bring some rain to the Southern area of Queensland has slid further to the South. Although for this area of the thread we definitely had a few days of some good heavy showers and especially around Springbrook.

The 2 Ridges, an upper and lower ridge over Queensland have been the main drivers for the weather in Southern, while down NSW, 2 very strong Highs in the Tasman Sea have driven the weather pattern there.

So for Queensland, (in this area of the thread and NE NSW), we should still see some showers ramp up a little over the next 2-3 days, just in time for the weekend, then it will quickly clear to the East then followed by warmer weather especially on Monday with a top of 26-27°C expected. Likewise Tuesday and Wednesday should see higher than average maximum temperatures. (25-26°C.)

On the flip side, due to cloudless nights for Monday and Tuesday, the minimum temperature should be about average for this time of year until cloud starts to roll back in on Wednesday afternoon.

I have posted below the 2 forecast models highlighting the difference seen within 5 days.

1st forecast model from Monday.



The revised model from this morning, Friday 10 May.



The WATL chart for showers over the weekend



Cheers and have a good weekend.