Today, Monday 7 October, has been a very interesting and good indicator to what some of the modelling is suggesting and what is happening in real time. Currently there is a severe storm warning out for the Sunshine Coast as can be seen below.

.

The current radar at Mt Stapylton sweep.



A solid black core in that cell as well.

Now one of the more reliable models was not interested in the prospect of storms today as per the image below.



The Brisbane Sounding this morning shows an incredible lack of moisture as I have posted below.



and when you compare that to the Yeppoon Sounding you can see some very good moisture.



So between Yeppoon and Brisbane, the area around Gympie and the Sunshine Coast seems to have been a sweet spot for the formation of storms. This has been a good indicator between what the models could be missing and what is actually occurring.

Once again for tomorrow, after seeing what has happened today, keep an eye and ear out for any warnings that could be given in the event of possible severe storms.

Just on another note, you don’t just go of LI’s and cape when trying to forecast storms, there are so many other dynamics involved in the atmosphere for the formation of storms.