Today, Wednesday is shaping up to have the potential of being quite a big storm day, although there is still a bit of cloud around, If that burns off quickly and the sun shines through then it should be on. Even with the cloud, I think yesterday’s heat and humidity will have helped to prime the atmosphere for today. Once again real time observations will be the real tell tale.

With Tuesday, even though storms were forecast, only a couple of small cells, albeit weak storms, formed. Most of the energy, ( instability / cape ) was spent on Monday evening with the widespread storms and heavy showers. Then on Tuesday we woke to a cloudy day that didn’t allow for the extra heating needed to allow storms to build.

Below is the sounding from yesterday and you can see the potential had died off.



I waited for the latest GFS run for today and it is looking quite conducive to storms and possibly severe with Strong Winds and possible hail. On the forecast sounding the TT’s (TotalTotals) are fairly high which indicates widespread storms and possibly severe.

Below are the LI’s and cape for this morning, along with the GFS’ stormcast sounding which looks pretty strong. Once the soundings from the Brisbane Airport/ Moree and surrounding areas come out at approx. 11:00 am we should get a better picture. These are my thoughts only, so please keep and an eye and ear out for any warnings if storms come off.