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Posted by: Colmait Offline Posted: Thursday, 14 November 2024 8:12:30 AM(UTC)
There is the possibility of storms again today and some being severe, but I am waiting for the soundings to come out. it may not be as widespread as yesterday if they do form.

Below is GFS Li’s, Cape values and Sounding. But I would like to see maybe just a little bit more moisture in the DT and ET’s around the 900-700mb. But GFS often does this in underestimating the moisture levels, either to little or too much.

IMG_4541.jpeg

IMG_4539.jpeg

IMG_4540.jpeg

The uppers are actually a little colder than yesterdays by a few degrees so Hail could play a big part “if” storms develop.

IMG_4542.jpeg

And below is the water vapour image from this morning showing a bit of a dry area over the South East. But as I said before there is enough instability in the atmosphere and with the sun dragging moisture up it should add to the fuel.

IMG_4544.jpeg

Once again, these are my thoughts on the day. So please stay alert and listen for any warnings issued if storms do develop.
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