Storms are still a possibility for Sunday as I mentioned on my last post 5 days ago, but the modelling has backed off a bit. There is also a chance on Saturday right through to Tuesday, but the most likely scenario at this stage is for Thundery showers. They are just not as clear cut as previous years. So the best advice is to keep an eye toward the sky and listen for any forecast and warnings if storms build.

The interesting part of the forecast is the amount of instability across much of Australia on Tuesday and Wednesday. Storms are forecast in many parts of these areas but it tapers off towards SEQLD.

Below is the stormcast from GFS for Sunday along with the sounding which indicates are pretty moist atmosphere, possible showers /rain with embedded storms.






This is the stormcast for Wednesday. It indicates the bigger storms will be in the NT into the Southern interior of NSW and Northern Queensland.