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Posted by: Colmait Offline Posted: Wednesday, 22 January 2025 7:34:17 PM(UTC)
A few cells lighting up this evening sky in some areas.

BoM are going for possible storms tomorrow. I was running through the models today and playing with a few values to see the possibilities for different setups and it is a bit of a hit and miss. At this point there is a strong cap in place but given the right temperatures and dew points earlier in the morning there is also the chance of a good storm.

So just keep an eye out and listen for any warnings if everything does fall into place.

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And the forecast soundings for tomorrow. The second sounding you will see I changed a few values and there is the potential for a storm and possibly severe. The 1st sounding has a massive cap and a few things going against it.

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And I have just thrown the Li’s in. Way, way more involved than just Li’s for a storm to come off but it is one of the 1st things you take notice of and start to investigate the potential.

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There is also once again a slight chance of another storm for Sunday.
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