We are in for another hot day. The overnight apparent or feel like temperature never dropped below 28°C here at Lawnton.

Just running through the possibilities for tomorrow and it is not a clear cut storm day as we have seen but there is still the high chance of severe storms.

There is a couple of possibilities.

1 is that early morning showers arrive and we have thundery rain with the possibility of a severe embedded storm.

2. Or it is just thundery rain.

3 storms arrive mid morning early afternoon.

4 showers in the morning, clearing away, allowing the heating to build and storms arrive.

All the ingredients are there for potentially big storms with heavy rain, large hail and strong winds.
With the storms I would prefer to see the later models and if there is a slight change plus the sounding.
Below is the GFS instability charts with the cape and LI’s

Edited by user Tuesday, 2 January 2024 8:05:48 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

STW out

You can see how lightning active these storms are.
Below is the Energex lightning tracker

Update STW

A very dangerous cell in the latest update

Edited by user Saturday, 30 December 2023 11:18:00 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Just a couple of hours photos of the storm after it had passed over us. Managed to capture a small funnel cloud.

Some good big rain totals to the North

Photos courtesy of Energex FB page. The damage is from the Sunshine Coast this afternoon.

Latest STW

https://www.abc.net.au/n...-new-years-day/103276844



A severe weather warning has been issued for the already-battered Gold Coast and Scenic Rim areas, with the Bureau of Meteorology warning of localised intense rainfall and the possibility of life-threatening flash flooding on New Year's Day.

Large parts of Queensland's south-east are on alert for heavy rain from a slow-moving thunderstorm, with isolated 24-hourly rainfall totals of more than 250 millimetres possible.

The Bureau has extended its warning area as far north as Gympie.

Upper Springbrook copped 389mm of rain in 24 hours to 9am on New Year's Day, while Wongawallan recorded 119mm in just two hours.

Little Nerang Dam recorded 276mm in 24 hours, with 264mm falling at Hotham Creek near Pimpama and 215mm at Binna Burra.



Scenic Rim Mayor Greg Christensen encouraged residents to shelter in place, with several roads in the council area closed due to flooding.

"It's clear that there will be instability from such an intense event," he said.

"That just runs the risk of more things coming down, landslips coming down, we don't want people caught in dangerous places because that just creates another need for a response."

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES) have already been called to "multiple flood-related incidents" today.

Flood warnings have been issued for the Nerang and Coomera Rivers, with creek level rises also observed around the Mudgeeraba, Tallebudgera and Currumbin Creeks.

The Bureau predicts rapid rises will continue for the Pimpama, Nerang and Coomera Rivers during periods of intense rainfall, which are forecast to continue for the next day or two.

.

Edited by user Monday, 1 January 2024 11:42:46 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified