Weather Forum

Welcome Guest! To enable all features please Login or Register.

Notification

Icon
Error

131 Pages«<129130131
Share
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline Colmait  
#2601 Posted : Friday, 29 December 2023 9:46:54 AM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 638
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 1089 times
Was thanked: 834 time(s) in 389 post(s)
We are in for another hot day. The overnight apparent or feel like temperature never dropped below 28°C here at Lawnton.

Just running through the possibilities for tomorrow and it is not a clear cut storm day as we have seen but there is still the high chance of severe storms.

There is a couple of possibilities.

1 is that early morning showers arrive and we have thundery rain with the possibility of a severe embedded storm.

2. Or it is just thundery rain.

3 storms arrive mid morning early afternoon.

4 showers in the morning, clearing away, allowing the heating to build and storms arrive.

All the ingredients are there for potentially big storms with heavy rain, large hail and strong winds.
With the storms I would prefer to see the later models and if there is a slight change plus the sounding.
Below is the GFS instability charts with the cape and LI’s

IMG_3289.jpeg

IMG_3292.jpeg

IMG_3291.jpeg

IMG_3293.png

Edited by user Friday, 29 December 2023 9:47:38 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Colin Maitland.
Offline Colmait  
#2602 Posted : Friday, 29 December 2023 2:01:38 PM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 638
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 1089 times
Was thanked: 834 time(s) in 389 post(s)
Very hot and dry. Just not enough to nearly no moisture to have a chance of relief today/ tonight.
As for tomorrow, storms look set to hit mid morning, I just had a look at a few updated runs. Could be severe in many areas. (TT,s sitting at 53 so pretty widespread and severe. )

Todays heat and dry slot can be seen from the Brisbane”s Airport sounding this morning.

IMG_3297.jpeg

Doppler showing a little bit about of moisture around the radar at Marburg as at 13:55 but not enough to feed any storms.

IMG_3298.jpeg


Colin Maitland.
Offline Colmait  
#2603 Posted : Friday, 29 December 2023 3:12:21 PM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 638
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 1089 times
Was thanked: 834 time(s) in 389 post(s)
I have been keeping an eye on the radar and this front moving through over the boarder. Stanthorpe and some border regions might get some of it. Interesting to see how far it can reach into SEQLD. Definitely a few storms for NE NSW.


IMG_3300.jpeg

IMG_3299.jpeg

Colin Maitland.
Offline Colmait  
#2604 Posted : Saturday, 30 December 2023 7:23:08 AM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 638
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 1089 times
Was thanked: 834 time(s) in 389 post(s)
What a hot night. At our place the feel like temperature never fell below 30°C.At one point it reached 33°C for the feel like temperature.

As for storms, although there is some cloud about storms are already firing from Goondiwindi, Stanthorpe, and west of Toowoomba .

Below is the Satellite imagery showing the lightning and storms.m

IMG_3304.jpeg

Edited by user Saturday, 30 December 2023 7:25:23 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Colin Maitland.
Offline Colmait  
#2605 Posted : Saturday, 30 December 2023 7:50:27 AM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 638
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 1089 times
Was thanked: 834 time(s) in 389 post(s)
STW out

IMG_3305.jpeg

Colin Maitland.
Offline Colmait  
#2606 Posted : Saturday, 30 December 2023 8:44:00 AM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 638
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 1089 times
Was thanked: 834 time(s) in 389 post(s)
Updated STW and image 1 is a blanket warning.


IMG_3307.jpeg

IMG_3306.jpeg

Edited by user Saturday, 30 December 2023 8:44:37 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Colin Maitland.
Offline Colmait  
#2607 Posted : Saturday, 30 December 2023 8:48:08 AM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 638
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 1089 times
Was thanked: 834 time(s) in 389 post(s)
You can see how lightning active these storms are.
Below is the Energex lightning tracker

IMG_3308.jpeg
Colin Maitland.
Users browsing this topic
Guest (3), Bingbot, MozSpider-DotBot 1.2
Similar Topics
SE QLD and NE NSW - Day to day Weather 2024 (SEQ and NE NSW)
by Colmait 29/12/2023 10:05:34 AM(UTC)
131 Pages«<129130131
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Weather Forum

Weatherzone Forum Alternative

The Weather Forum for Australia

Australian Weather Forum

Weather Forum for Australia, climate change, storm chasing, cyclones, weather photography