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Offline retired weather man  
#361 Posted : Wednesday, 25 September 2019 7:30:42 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....25 SEP 2019...TIME...0720

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...18.7C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........77%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......14C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...SSE 4kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....20KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1026.9Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........1/8 Cu, 2/8 Sc, 4/8 Ac, 3/8 Ci.
CURRENT WEATHER......Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 TUESDAY..0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......24.6C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......16.0C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+1.70C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....15.0C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......14C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1025.3Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....SE 36Kph at 0902
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Smoke haze developed.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#362 Posted : Wednesday, 25 September 2019 7:55:00 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 25 Sep 2019
Time: 7:30 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 17.1 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 25.4 C
Min Ground Temp: 16.2 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 18.4 C
Relative Humidity: 63 %
Dew Point: 11.2 C
MSL Pressure: 1026.7 hPa
Wind Speed: 3 kph - light air
Wind Direction: SW

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 8/8
Ground State: Ground dry


Notes of yesterday weather - 24/9/19: Fine. Partly cloudy with cu clouds developing from morning and high ci and cs clouds thickening during the day. A warm morning. Very variable temperature from mid morning to mid afternoon and rose and fell 9 times. The temperature was stable in the late evening. The dew point was near average and generally fell slowly before rising later in the afternoon and stabilised in the evening. Near average daytime relative humidity and moderately low in the evening. The relative humidity was variable from the mid morning to mid afternoon. Light WSW to SSW winds from earl, becoming S to SE in the early morning and E to SE later in the morning through to the early evening before becoming calm later in the evening.

Today: A very warm morning with the temperature very stable until sunrise. Stable dew point have started to slowly rise and is currently moderately high. Relative humidity have been stable and moderately low. Light SW winds since the early hours.

Edited by user Wednesday, 25 September 2019 7:55:51 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Skeetpete  
#363 Posted : Wednesday, 25 September 2019 9:14:18 AM(UTC)
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Unfortunately the BOM has downgraded our rainfall for here from 4- 10mm to 2-8mm ,small change but showing a downward trend.
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Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#364 Posted : Wednesday, 25 September 2019 10:34:12 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Unfortunately the BOM has downgraded our rainfall for here from 4- 10mm to 2-8mm ,small change but showing a downward trend.


Yes, I saw that too. Sad
Hopefully the showers (if any) are convective and if someone is lucky to be under one, they get the 10mm or so.
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Offline Pabloako  
#365 Posted : Wednesday, 25 September 2019 10:36:43 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Unfortunately the BOM has downgraded our rainfall for here from 4- 10mm to 2-8mm ,small change but showing a downward trend.


I actually drove through some wet stuff between Dayboro and Samford this morning. The issue is my windscreen wipers have perished throughout the dry winter period and didn't work too well. It has been that long since rain!
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Offline Skeetpete  
#366 Posted : Wednesday, 25 September 2019 1:00:01 PM(UTC)
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Yeah wiper blades would be in a state of shock having to do some work
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Offline Pabloako  
#367 Posted : Wednesday, 25 September 2019 2:35:00 PM(UTC)
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Sitting here at work on a conference call and looking out of the window.

My view doesn't get any more QLD than this... Cumulus clouds floating above the XXXX factory.

20190925_143059.jpg

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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#368 Posted : Wednesday, 25 September 2019 10:25:28 PM(UTC)
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Near average temperature today. Near average dew point and relative humidity today. The temperature and relative humidity constantly rose and fell in the morning and afternoon. Winds today been mostly light E to NE after very steady SW winds early in the day.

Last 24 hours:

wind dir 2019-09-25.PNGtemp 2019-09-25.PNG
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Offline retired weather man  
#369 Posted : Thursday, 26 September 2019 7:31:48 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....26 SEP 2019...TIME...07250

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...20.2C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........72%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......15C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...NE 13kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....20KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1027.2Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........6/8 Sc-decreasing, 2/8 Ci
CURRENT WEATHER......Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 WEDNESDAY..0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......25.2C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......18.0C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+3.00C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....16.0C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......16C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1025.8Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....NE 39Kph at 1406
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Smoke haze.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#370 Posted : Thursday, 26 September 2019 8:14:39 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 26 Sep 2019
Time: 8:00 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 16.9 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 25.3 C
Min Ground Temp: 13.9 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 20.3 C
Relative Humidity: 62 %
Dew Point: 12.7 C
MSL Pressure: 1026.7 hPa
Wind Speed: 6 kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: NNE

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 8/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 25/9/19: Fine. Partly cloudy and cloudy at times from morning with cu,sc and ac clouds, easing in the afternoon. A very warm morning with the temperature stable in the early hours. From the mid morning through to the afternoon the temperature fluctuated. The dew point was stable and near average early , slowly rising in the early morning and stable and near average from the mid morning. Moderately low relative humidity in the early hours and near average for the rest of the day. From the mid morning to the mid afternoon the relative humidity fluctuated. Light and very steady SW winds from the early hours, before light and variable winds in the early morning and ESE to NE winds from the mid morning. From the late afternoon winds were ENE to NE and became calm later in the evening.

Today: A warm morning due to cloud cover where the temperature didn't fall much. The dew point have been stable and near average. Relative humidity was stable while the temperature was unchanged. Calm winds overnight with light NNE to NNW winds starting in last 30 minutes.

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Offline Skeetpete  
#371 Posted : Thursday, 26 September 2019 4:03:47 PM(UTC)
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Not sure where to put this.SST ANOMALY
https://www.ospo.noaa.go...2019/anomp.9.23.2019.gif

Does'nt bode well for long term rainfall
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Offline crikey  
#372 Posted : Thursday, 26 September 2019 4:27:06 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Not sure where to put this.SST ANOMALY
https://www.ospo.noaa.go...2019/anomp.9.23.2019.gif

Does'nt bode well for long term rainfall



There is a climate driver thread in general weather. But my view is it pertains to this thread as well. So good post 'Pete.'

Yes . I had noticed the stark contrast between the NH and SH. The NH Pacific temperature profile is amazing .Warm everywhere.

It will certainly be interesting this spring/ summer. A cooler SST usually implies less convection.

Will follow with interest. The continuing dry dew points are in line with this colder SST anomaly around Australia l suppose

Could this weaken our spring storm aeason as well?

Edited by user Thursday, 26 September 2019 4:28:47 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline retired weather man  
#373 Posted : Friday, 27 September 2019 7:20:19 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....27 SEP 2019...TIME...0710

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...19.6C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........77%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......16C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...NNW 7kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....20KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1023.8Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........2/8 Sc, 6/8 Ac
CURRENT WEATHER......Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 THURSDAY..0.2mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......25.5C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......15.7C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.00C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....14.0C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......15C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1025.0Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....N 36Kph at 1635
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Smoke haze. Slight overnight showers
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#374 Posted : Friday, 27 September 2019 8:12:48 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 27 Sep 2019
Time: 8:00 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 13.4 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 25.8 C
Min Ground Temp: 13.8 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0.3 mm

Temperature: 20.1 C
Relative Humidity: 67 %
Dew Point: 13.8 C
MSL Pressure: 1023.4 hPa
Wind Speed: 8 kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: N

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 3/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 26/9/19: Fine until some evening brief light showers. Cloudy with cu and sc clouds clearing in the afternoon with some ci clouds in late afternoon.Very variable temperature in the late morning and in the afternoon. Stable temperature for 2 hours in the evening. Near average dew point falling slightly in the mid morning and rose slowly in the evening. Near average relative humidity. Light N to ENE winds from early morning, NE to E from mid morning, NNW to NE later in the evening before becoming calm in the late evening.

Today: Near average dew point falling slowly early today and since 5 am have been rising while remaining near average. Near average relative humidity. Calm winds with NNE to NNE winds developing in the last half-hour.
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Offline retired weather man  
#375 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 7:46:29 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....28 SEP 2019...TIME...0740

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...22.1C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........69%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......16C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...N 13Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....30KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1019.1Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........1/8 Ac, 3/8 Ci
CURRENT WEATHER......Cloud decreasing
RAIN SINCE 0900 FRIDAY..0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......25.8C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......17.2C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.90C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....16.9C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......16C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1020.5Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....NE 40Kph at 1226
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Showers passed to the south during Friday afternoon.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#376 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 8:26:58 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 28 Sep 2019
Time: 8:00 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 16.6 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 28.6 C
Min Ground Temp: 14.4 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 22.8 C
Relative Humidity: 54 %
Dew Point: 13 C
MSL Pressure: 1018.7 hPa
Wind Speed: 6kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: ENE

Present Weather: Clouds generally dissolving or becoming less developed during the preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 1/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 27/9/19: Fine until some brief light drizzle in the evening. Partly cloudy with cu and sc clouds increasing in the afternoon with as clouds. Variable temperature later in the morning and in the afternoon and rose and fell many times. Near average dew point fell and rose a few times until the afternoon and was stable in the evening. Near average relative humidity and was a little variable in the afternoon. Light N to NE winds from early morning and E to NE from mid-morning to mid-afternoon.

Today: Very warm in the early hours of today. Stable and near average dew point with moderately low relative humidity so far today. Some light and variable winds at times. In the last hour winds have becoming E to SE and now is N to NE.
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Offline retired weather man  
#377 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 7:39:17 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....29 SEP 2019 TIME....0730

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...19.3C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........72%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......14C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...SE 18Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....30KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1020.3Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........2/8 Sc
CURRENT WEATHER......No significant weather
RAIN SINCE 0900 SATURDAY..0.2mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......28.0C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......14.1C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.45C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....13.2C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......17C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1016.9Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....NE 39Kph at 1527
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Brief thunderstorm mid afternoon Saturday.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Pabloako  
#378 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 8:12:34 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Not sure where to put this.SST ANOMALY
https://www.ospo.noaa.go...2019/anomp.9.23.2019.gif

Does'nt bode well for long term rainfall


I was going to go to Bribie today for a swim, but after looking at those temps, I may just eat lunch there!
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Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#379 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 11:09:47 AM(UTC)
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According to GFS on OceanViewWeather, they are going for a drop of rain on Tuesday.... What's everyone's thoughts on this?

66.png

66 (1).png
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Offline Ken  
#380 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 11:22:09 AM(UTC)
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UserPostedImage

Monday still looks like featuring coastal shower activity starting to spread along the central and northern NSW coast then into parts of coastal SE QLD later or early Tuesday..... before extending further north to the Wide Bay and Capricornia Coast on Tuesday where some moderate falls are possible (aided by an upper trough moving up from NSW).

The more numerous thunderstorm activity on Tuesday looks like it may be a bit inland of the coast as far as SE QLD goes.

I can't see any huge falls for SE QLD itself but some locations near the coastal fringe and islands may see a nice drop as well as those locations which manage to get lucky under a storm or heavier showers.

P.S. crikey, ACCESS-G's going to completely replace ACCESS-R (currently scheduled date is December) because it's going to run at the same resolution as R as part of its next upgrade (but since there’s a grace period before all ACCESS-R data is switched off, not all websites may display the new version straight away). So you'll probably notice finer resolution in the ACCESS-G maps in the 3-7 day forecast time period once that happens.

Also worth noting that the current version of ACCESS-R has had a long known tendency for coastal locking i.e. cuts back precip over land by an unrealistic amount at night while maintaining it over the water which results in unrealistically steep gradients in nocturnal precip between land and sea. The decrease in convective precip over land at night does happen to some extent in the real world but ACCESS-R is known for doing it too much. This problem has been completely eliminated in the current version of ACCESS-C.
As a sidenote, the ACCESS-GE ensemble as well as the ACCESS-C ensemble and the next upgrade to ACCESS-C is in the pipeline although I’m not sure if they'll be made public.
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