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Offline DelBoy  
#561 Posted : Sunday, 27 October 2019 8:21:30 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: CantSpellNarangba Go to Quoted Post
I waited patiently, but no rain for me.
Oh well.


Yep..nothing for me either. After readings Ken's post above and looking at the BOM forecast, I didn't expect any, so watered the yard last night.
Offline Pabloako  
#562 Posted : Sunday, 27 October 2019 8:26:49 PM(UTC)
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I'm back from an overseas trip and came back to 30mm for this month so far. Not bad, but not great compared to our long term average. Today looked promising for me, but any rain that did fall went north and over Melany.

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Falling_Droplet on 27/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#563 Posted : Sunday, 27 October 2019 9:04:59 PM(UTC)
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No rain today. Similar maximum temperature to yesterday and was close to average. The temperature have been stable in the last 2 hours. Near average dew point was mostly stable which varied a little. Moderately low relative humidity during today and also tonight. Light ENE to SE winds following the wind change, ENE to ESE from mid afternoon and SSE to ESE tonight.

Last 24 hours:


temp 2019-10-27.PNGhum 2019-10-27.PNGwind dir 2019-10-27.PNG
Offline retired weather man  
#564 Posted : Monday, 28 October 2019 7:25:32 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....28 OCT 2019 TIME....0720

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...21.2C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........72%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......16C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...WSW 4Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....20KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1017.4Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........8/8 CuSc
CURRENT WEATHER...Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 SUNDAY...0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......27.8C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......19.1C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.55C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....18.0C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......18C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1014.1Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....SE 34Kph at 1523
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...Smoke haze.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Falling_Droplet on 28/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#565 Posted : Monday, 28 October 2019 8:08:21 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 28 Oct 2019
Time: 7:45 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 18.9 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 30.4 C
Min Ground Temp: 17 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 22 C
Relative Humidity: 56 %
Dew Point: 12.8 C
MSL Pressure: 1017.7 hPa
Wind Speed: 6kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: SW

Present Weather: Clouds generally forming or developing during the preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 8/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 27/10/19: Fine and sunny with some cu clouds mostly to the west in the afternoon. Near average and generally stable dew point over the entire day. Moderately low daytime and evening relative humidity. Calm winds became light N to NW with some W to NW early in the morning, N to NE from 7am, a light S to SE wind change from 8:20 am becoming ENE to SE during the morning, ESE to ENE winds from mid afternoon, S to SE in the evening and SSW to S later in the evening.

Today: A warm morning and cloudy. Dew point have been near average while has fallen slowly which is currently slowly rising. Moderately low relative humidity and was stable overnight. Light WSW to S winds at times earlier today and WSW to SW in the last 2 hours.

Offline Tsunami  
#566 Posted : Monday, 28 October 2019 9:44:44 AM(UTC)
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So just back from holidays
I gather no chance for a storm bayside today
Offline Ken  
#567 Posted : Monday, 28 October 2019 6:01:07 PM(UTC)
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Nah.
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Tsunami on 28/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Ken  
#568 Posted : Monday, 28 October 2019 6:02:21 PM(UTC)
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UserPostedImage

UserPostedImage

In contrast with the high confidence of the upcoming good rain coming up for the southern interior of QLD, there's still a fair bit of chopping and changing going on with how much rainfall will reach us from the southern system (front and upper trough) that's due to sweep across VIC/TAS/NSW from the end of this week and approach us early next week.
Some models have been going for big falls for here while some confined the heavier falls to our southwest.

As a general rule of thumb, I personally tend to be somewhat pessimistic about such systems delivering really good rainfall for our area unless they're exceptionally vigorous and there's a good onshore flow ahead of them. But there's enough exceptions to that rule to avoid using it as a blanket rule for every system.

Above is the percentage of scenarios from the US Navy ensemble and the past 6 runs of GFS that have been going for more than 25mm of accumulated rainfall at some stage between this Friday morning and next Wednesday morning (and thereby encompassing the next system). As you can see, indecisive probabilities for our local area at the moment compared to further southwest of us.
But regardless of what happens, some shower activity does still look like developing here towards the end of this week before then.
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Falling_Droplet on 28/10/2019(UTC), Greg on 28/10/2019(UTC), Pabloako on 28/10/2019(UTC), Tsunami on 28/10/2019(UTC), SatMan on 29/10/2019(UTC), CantSpellNarangba on 29/10/2019(UTC), NoDrops on 29/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#569 Posted : Monday, 28 October 2019 11:06:21 PM(UTC)
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Slightly cooler today with the temperature a bit variable during period of cloud cover. Near average dew point today which steadily rose during the morning and afternoon and have been falling since late afternoon. Relative humidity was near average during today and moderately low tonight. Light winds today and became E to SE during the morning, SSE to SE later in the afternoon and S to SE in the last few hours.

Last 24 hours:


temp 2019-10-28.PNG
Offline retired weather man  
#570 Posted : Tuesday, 29 October 2019 7:47:57 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....29 OCT 2019 TIME....0740

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...22.5C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........64%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......16C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...SE 22Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....25KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1023.7Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........2/8 Cu
CURRENT WEATHER...Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 MONDAY...0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......27.9C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......17.0C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.05C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....14.1C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......17C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1020.0Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....S 43Kph at 1810
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...Smoke haze.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Falling_Droplet on 29/10/2019(UTC), Tsunami on 29/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#571 Posted : Tuesday, 29 October 2019 8:11:06 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 29 Oct 2019
Time: 7:55 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 18 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 29.2 C
Min Ground Temp: 15.3 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 22.3 C
Relative Humidity: 52 %
Dew Point: 11.9 C
MSL Pressure: 1023.7 hPa
Wind Speed: 12 kph - gentle breeze
Wind Direction: SE

Present Weather: Clouds generally dissolving or becoming less developed during the preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 3/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 28/10/19: Fine. Smoke haze. Cloudy periods with cu and sc clouds. A warm morning and variable temperature in the morning and afternoon. Near average dew point slowly fell in the early hour, rose in the morning and afternoon and fell from the late afternoon. Moderately low relative humidity in the early hours and in the evening. Light S to WSW winds in the early hours, WSW to SSW in the early hours becoming SSW to SE, E to SE winds from the mid morning with some E to NE in the late morning and S to SE from the late afternoon.

Today: A warm morning. Dew point have remained near average while falling slowly. Moderately low overnight relative humidity. Light SSW to SSE winds earlier today and S to SE in the last 2 hours.
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CantSpellNarangba on 29/10/2019(UTC), Tsunami on 29/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Zuldjan  
#572 Posted : Tuesday, 29 October 2019 8:43:40 AM(UTC)
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From a fire danger rating perspective, its nice to see low/moderate ratings across much of the state.
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CantSpellNarangba on 29/10/2019(UTC), SatMan on 29/10/2019(UTC), Ken on 29/10/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 29/10/2019(UTC)
Offline SatMan  
#573 Posted : Tuesday, 29 October 2019 10:19:42 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Zuldjan Go to Quoted Post
From a fire danger rating perspective, its nice to see low/moderate ratings across much of the state.


I'm with you there! Plus based on Ken's post above, much of NSW will get lower too and some much neended rain in some areas.
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Ken on 29/10/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 29/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#574 Posted : Tuesday, 29 October 2019 10:31:11 PM(UTC)
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Near average maximum temperature today and was a bit cooler today, though the temperature was a little variable. Dew point was near average which fell during the morning, rose in the afternoon and is falling slowly tonight. Near average day-time relative humidity and moderately low tonight. Light E to SE winds today, ESE to ENE from later this afternoon and now have became calm.

Offline retired weather man  
#575 Posted : Wednesday, 30 October 2019 7:31:43 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....30 OCT 2019 TIME....0725

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...20.2C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........78%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......16C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...SSE 2Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....25KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1022.1Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........4/8 Cu, 2/8 Sc, 8/8 AcAs
CURRENT WEATHER...Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 TUESDAY...0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......26.5C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......16.2C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+0.45C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....14.0C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......15C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1022.1Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....E 33Kph at 0951
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...Smoke haze.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Ambient on 30/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#576 Posted : Wednesday, 30 October 2019 8:15:58 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 30 Oct 2019
Time: 8:00 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 14.2 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 26.9 C
Min Ground Temp: 13 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 20.8 C
Relative Humidity: 61 %
Dew Point: 13 C
MSL Pressure: 1021.9 hPa
Wind Speed: 3 kph - light air
Wind Direction: SW

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 7/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 29/10/19: A warm morning and variable temperature in the morning and afternoon. Dew point was near average that slowly fell early in the day and in the morning before slowly rising in the afternoon and falling slowly in the evening while remaining near average. Moderately low relative humidity early and late in the day. Light SSW to SSE winds early, S to SW in the early morning, E to SE from mid morning, ESE to ENE from late afternoon and became calm later in the evening.

Today: Near average dew point was stable earlier today and been rising in the last 2 hours. Near average relative humidity. Calm winds overnight became W to SSW in the last hour.


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Ambient on 30/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#577 Posted : Wednesday, 30 October 2019 9:34:02 PM(UTC)
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A cool and cloudy day today with quite variable temperature during the morning and afternoon. Dew point have remained near average today which fell during the morning and afternoon and been rising tonight but near average. Near average relative humidity today. Light ESE to NE winds, E to NE later in the afternoon, N to NE tonight and is now calm.

Last 24 hours:

temp 2019-10-30.PNG
Offline retired weather man  
#578 Posted : Thursday, 31 October 2019 6:52:49 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....31 OCT 2019 TIME....0650

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...19.6C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........80%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......16C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...SSW 1Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....30KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1019.4Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........1/8 Cu, 1/8 Ac, 4/8 Ci
CURRENT WEATHER...No significant weather
RAIN SINCE 0900 WEDNESDAY...0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......24.5C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......15.0C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..-1.15C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....14.0C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......15C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1019.3Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....NE 29Kph at 1255
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...Smoke haze cleared.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Falling_Droplet on 31/10/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#579 Posted : Thursday, 31 October 2019 8:13:25 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 31 Oct 2019
Time: 7:55 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 13 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 24.5 C
Min Ground Temp: 12.8 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 22.9 C
Relative Humidity: 53 %
Dew Point: 12.9 C
MSL Pressure: 1019.6 hPa
Wind Speed: 3 kph - light air
Wind Direction: ESE

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 4/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 30/10/19: Cloudy with sc and as clouds with some cu clouds and in the afternoon was some ac clouds. A cool day with variable temperature in the morning and afternoon. Dew point was average that was stable early, rising during during the early morning, falling during the morning and afternoon, rose in the early evening and fell later in the evening. Calm winds became light W to SSW winds in the early morning, ESE to NE winds from the mid morning, E to NE from mid afternoon, N to NE in the evening and became calm later in the evening.

Today: Dew point have been near average and have been rising in the last 2 hours. Near average relative humidity. Calm winds have became SE to NE in the last 30 minutes.
Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#580 Posted : Thursday, 31 October 2019 4:57:17 PM(UTC)
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It isn't looking too bad on GFS for Tuesday next week. (As per Ken's post above)

132.png
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Falling_Droplet on 31/10/2019(UTC)
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