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Offline Colmait  
#121 Posted : Monday, 2 September 2019 7:25:37 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Heat well and truly on the rise this week with temps between 6 to 8C above the average of 22C
peaking on fri.Will continue to suck out what ever moisture is still in the ground.


Hi Pete,

I was wondering how the Toowoomba flower show will go this year. My wife and I were thinking of coming up the week before or after but we were discussing the water problem.

In some ways you wonder if it should have been cancelled due to the severe water shortage but it is one of the years big money earners for the shire. Plus It is probably a situation where you have to start planning last year and planting many months ago. Between a rock and hard place.

I was just shocked at the lack of water and how dry the Lockyer Valley was when we saw it on Sunday.





Colin Maitland.
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Offline crikey  
#122 Posted : Monday, 2 September 2019 8:00:03 PM(UTC)
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Stable high pressure , low wind , blue clear skies and a layer of subsidence pollution over Surfers Paradise as usual in conditions like this.
Took this picture about 10.30am from Kirra foreshore
At least the tourists benefit from these warm days
(ignore the time stamp)



DSCF0199.JPG

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Offline Colmait  
#123 Posted : Monday, 2 September 2019 8:31:40 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: crikey Go to Quoted Post
Stable high pressure , low wind , blue clear skies and a layer of subsidence pollution over Surfers Paradise as usual in conditions like this.
Took this picture about 10.30am from Kirra foreshore
At least the tourists benefit from these warm days
(ignore the time stamp)



DSCF0199.JPG



Beautiful photo Crikey. I love that end of the coast. It has changed in the last 12 years but it still has a yesteryear feel about t. Prior to that it was like a blast from the 70’s.

The only thing I don’t like is what has happened to the classic Kirra barrels. Pumping all that sand has killed Kirra. It is a beautiful big beach but the price is a change in the surf. It has to get 5-8 feet for the barrels to kick in like they did in the 70’s and 80’s. Boo hoo!

Picture perfect day though. ThumpUp Applause Dancing
Colin Maitland.
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Offline retired weather man  
#124 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 7:27:21 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....3 SEP 2019...TIME...0715

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...15.1C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........76%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......11C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED..W 8Kph
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1019.0Hpa
CURRENT VISIBILITY......30Km
CURRENT CLOUD..........Nil
CURRENT WEATHER......No signficant weather.
RAIN SINCE 0900 MONDAY..0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS .......27.1C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP.......9.9C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..-0.10C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN......7.3C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......11C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1018.9Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS..NW 26Kph at 1226
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..No significant weather.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline retired weather man  
#125 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 7:33:56 AM(UTC)
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Colin,

Re Tweed Heads area. My area of the Coast has always been further south - Cabarita/Hastings Point. Perfect surf at Cabarita and fishing further south. The beaches still untouched since the sand mines went through in the 60's.

Pic is south of Hastings Pt taken Feb this year.

UserPostedImage
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#126 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 8:02:14 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 3 Sep 2019
Time: 7:45 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 8.6 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 29.7 C
Min Ground Temp: 6 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 13.7 C
Relative Humidity: 58 %
Dew Point: 5.6 C
MSL Pressure: 1018.7 hPa
Wind Speed: Calm
Wind Direction: Calm

Present Weather: No cloud development observed
Visibility: 40km or more - Excellent Visibility
Cloud Cover: 0/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 2/9/19: Fine and sunny. A warm day. Moderately low and falling dew point early, before rising at dawn to near average in the early morning. From the mid morning the dew point fell becoming very low in the afternoon to a low of -7 C in the late afternoon. In the late afternoon the dew point rose slightly and fell to -10 C before starting to rise later in the morning. Low relative humidity from later in the morning with a low of 9 %. Light and variable winds from early morning, WSW to S from late morning and WNW to WNW from mid afternoon.
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Offline Skeetpete  
#127 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 10:08:30 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Colmait Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Heat well and truly on the rise this week with temps between 6 to 8C above the average of 22C
peaking on fri.Will continue to suck out what ever moisture is still in the ground.


Hi Pete,

I was wondering how the Toowoomba flower show will go this year. My wife and I were thinking of coming up the week before or after but we were discussing the water problem.

In some ways you wonder if it should have been cancelled due to the severe water shortage but it is one of the years big money earners for the shire. Plus It is probably a situation where you have to start planning last year and planting many months ago. Between a rock and hard place.

I was just shocked at the lack of water and how dry the Lockyer Valley was when we saw it on Sunday.

Hello Colmait.Yes the carnival is still going ahead but IMO it should not.I know it's a big money spinner for the region but it's hypocritical to waste valuable water on something that only lasts a few weeks especially when people down to the south are having to buy water.Also we have been pumping water up here from the Wivenhoe dam for a while now.





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Offline Ken  
#128 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 11:39:15 AM(UTC)
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ACCESS-S_multiweek0.pngACCESS-S_multiweek1.pngACCESS-S_multiweek2.pngACCESS-S_multiweek3.pngACCESS-S_multiweek4.pngACCESS-S_multiweek5.pngACCESS-S_multiweek6.png


Hi all, I finally got around to signing up to this forum so thought I'd make a post today.

The latest multiweek outputs from ACCESS-S out to 3 weeks still don't look too flash for us either (except for an easing back of the hot temps next week, and closer to borderline chances of the drier than normal conditions around midmonth).

The only thing we can hope for at this stage is for the odd good rain event (or high-rainfall shower or thunderstorm activity) to buck that overall trend, at least temporarily.
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Offline Colmait  
#129 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 12:24:00 PM(UTC)
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Hey it’s great to see you posting on here Ken.
Unfortunately is not looking crash hot for rainfall.
I am wondering with the temps dropping later this week if it has anything to do with the “ sudden stratospheric warming“ over the Antarctic. It was expected to peak this week. It is not an enormous drop in temps for QLD but we go from 30+°C days and high teen mins back to average temps of about 24°C and 11-12°C min. Just the timing of the SSW seems to correspond.

Victoria and Tasmania seem to have very low temps for September.

I believe New Zealand and the southern area South America is going to bear the brunt of it.

Cheers

Colin
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Offline Colmait  
#130 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 12:27:32 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Colmait Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Heat well and truly on the rise this week with temps between 6 to 8C above the average of 22C
peaking on fri.Will continue to suck out what ever moisture is still in the ground.


Hi Pete,

I was wondering how the Toowoomba flower show will go this year. My wife and I were thinking of coming up the week before or after but we were discussing the water problem.

In some ways you wonder if it should have been cancelled due to the severe water shortage but it is one of the years big money earners for the shire. Plus It is probably a situation where you have to start planning last year and planting many months ago. Between a rock and hard place.

I was just shocked at the lack of water and how dry the Lockyer Valley was when we saw it on Sunday.

Hello Colmait.Yes the carnival is still going ahead but IMO it should not.I know it's a big money spinner for the region but it's hypocritical to waste valuable water on something that only lasts a few weeks especially when people down to the south are having to buy water.Also we have been pumping water up here from the Wivenhoe dam for a while now.







Thanks for that info Pete. I agree with you.
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Offline Pabloako  
#131 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 12:31:32 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Ken Go to Quoted Post

Hi all, I finally got around to signing up to this forum so thought I'd make a post today.

The latest multiweek outputs from ACCESS-S out to 3 weeks still don't look too flash for us either (except for an easing back of the hot temps next week, and closer to borderline chances of the drier than normal conditions around midmonth).

The only thing we can hope for at this stage is for the odd good rain event (or high-rainfall shower or thunderstorm activity) to buck that overall trend, at least temporarily.


Great to have you here Ken and SkeetPete and thank you for posting. Sadly the locations ColMait drove through at the weekend are going to only get drier for the foreseeable future.

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Offline Skeetpete  
#132 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 1:21:37 PM(UTC)
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You know its dry when you have a dew point of nearly -13
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Offline whiskyzulu2  
#133 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 1:42:36 PM(UTC)
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Great to see you posting Ken. I liked to read your posts on weatherzone over the yearsBigGrin

btw admin, the graphics being posted look good on my firefox browser👍

Regarding the forecast from the software Ken, it doesn't look good for spring rain around the traps generally .Those orange red hues we see all the time are certainly discouraging.
but l guess if you look at it from the half glass full perspective, 35% chance of below average rain for say Victoria ,is better than say 60%.
I think there is room in the probability for a chance to buck the trend? although l keep in mind for Victoria that we usually dry out a tad for summer .





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Offline Ken  
#134 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 2:05:30 PM(UTC)
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Thanks whiskyzulu2 :) Yeah using that glass half full perspective, you could also say that areas like southern VIC are currently close to an eachway bet re higher/lower than normal rainfall for this month as far as ACCESS-S goes.
And like you say, there's always a chance that a decent rain event or two could temporarily buck the overall trend since brown doesn't necessarily mean no rain at all.

Our region also faces elevated fire dangers, particularly tomorrow (as per the latest fire weather warning) as winds freshen, and then significantly ramping up again towards the end of the week/early weekend as hot dry winds become very gusty with the next front sweeping across before temps cool down.
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Offline Colmait  
#135 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 3:11:37 PM(UTC)
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Yes I totally agree RWM.
I love Fingal Heads and Kingscliffe as well. My mate has moved down to Kingscliffe and it is so peaceful.

Fingal Heads Love has a double beauty about it. It is ver tranquil when the ocean is quiet and when it is rough and overcast it has a haunting feel to it.
20190507_150004.jpg20190507_144324.jpg20180106_142640.jpg20190507_145059.jpg

Edited by user Tuesday, 3 September 2019 3:15:50 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Colmait  
#136 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 3:33:58 PM(UTC)
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Just received this email fro EWN.

Source: Bureau of Meteorology

for the Darling Downs and Granite Belt and Southeast Coast forecast districts
Issued at 12:55 pm EST on Tuesday 3 September 2019.

Weather Situation
Severe fire conditions are forecast for the South East Coast and Darling Downs and Granite Belt districts on Wednesday. Fresh southwesterly winds are expected to bring a warm and dry airmass to the southeast of Queensland, with fire dangers increasing during the morning, peaking at the time of maximum heating. Fire conditions are expected to ease during the evening and overnight Wednesday night as the winds ease.

For Wednesday 4 September:
Severe Fire Danger is forecast for the following forecast districts:
Darling Downs and Granite Belt and Southeast Coast
The Rural Fire Service Queensland advises you to:

Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au.
Colin Maitland.
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Offline Pabloako  
#137 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 4:22:30 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Colmait Go to Quoted Post
Just received this email fro EWN.

Source: Bureau of Meteorology

for the Darling Downs and Granite Belt and Southeast Coast forecast districts
Issued at 12:55 pm EST on Tuesday 3 September 2019.

Weather Situation
Severe fire conditions are forecast for the South East Coast and Darling Downs and Granite Belt districts on Wednesday. Fresh southwesterly winds are expected to bring a warm and dry airmass to the southeast of Queensland, with fire dangers increasing during the morning, peaking at the time of maximum heating. Fire conditions are expected to ease during the evening and overnight Wednesday night as the winds ease.

For Wednesday 4 September:
Severe Fire Danger is forecast for the following forecast districts:
Darling Downs and Granite Belt and Southeast Coast
The Rural Fire Service Queensland advises you to:

Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au.


I have just received a Moreton Bay Alert text message for Sever Fire Warning tomorrow.
There is a fire in kurwongbah at the moment and it is all hands on deck to get it out tonight. Helicopters are joining in too.

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Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#138 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 6:45:48 PM(UTC)
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Great to see some of the excellent posters from the WZ forum appearing on here. Applause
Things were pretty dry here today and although I started off with a Dew Point of only 8.2 degrees, it did manage to increase throughout the day.
Nothing like SkeetePetes -13 degrees!!!

Fingers crossed tomorrow is calm and boring, without any fires popping up.

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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#139 Posted : Tuesday, 3 September 2019 8:30:35 PM(UTC)
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https://www.seqwater.com...e-more-water-wise-spring
Hopefully we can get good summer rain and not a repeat of last summer and the recent lack of rain.

Another day of low dew point but not as low as yesterday, but interestingly was mostly above 0 C, except for 30 minutes of fluctuation between -2 C and 2 C from 12.45pm. Since then the dew point stabilised for most of the time.

And this is the current Ferny Grove long period rainfall totals so far this year for 6 month, 12 month, 18 month etc.
2019 YTD long rain totals.PNG

Edited by user Tuesday, 3 September 2019 8:36:56 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Pabloako  
#140 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 7:39:32 AM(UTC)
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There was an impressive temperature inversion today. I left home at 6:15am and in Ocean View (400m) it was a stunningly warm morning and 18.6°C. I drove down to Dayboro and it dropped to 9°C as I went down Mount Mee road. Normally there is 3 or 4°C, however today's nearly 10°C is a record for me!
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