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Jasper is looking much less organised on the sat image this morning.
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Looking like a direct hit up here.
Waiting waiting...
Cheers
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Hope everyone is prepared & stays safe. Hope it doesn't intensify.
Power went out here at 8pm last night. Apparently several poles burned in the fires.
Then the phone went out & just came back on now. Power is still out.
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Thanks 28. I hope we all get just a little bit of wind and a big heap of rain.
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Originally Posted by: FNQ Bunyip 
Looking like a direct hit up here.
Waiting waiting...
Cheers
yeah they are pretty much all got your place as the bulleye mate... JTWC has it at 55 knots at landfall while BOM has Cat3..hope its closer to the 55 knot mark and moves through quickly.. Bloody slow now though isnt it ..still 3 more days to have to wait and worry... It will certainly scare a few Cairns people if the models start to show it hitting there..
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Originally Posted by: FNQ Bunyip
Looking like a direct hit up here.
Waiting waiting...
Cheers
I can't imagine. Hopefully not a bad one. It's looking pretty washed out right now, although still a Cat2. Tried to post a screenshot, but it wouldn't load. https://zoom.earth/maps/...#view=-18.31,153.05,5.8zEdit: BOM now has Advice 1 landfall between Port Douglas and Cairns. JTWC has it north of Daintree again. Just to confuse us... Edited by user Sunday, 10 December 2023 7:53:56 PM(UTC)
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Your right 28, it is getting confusing as usual. Jasper has taken our minds off how dry it is, your burning power poles are a good example. Hopefully it brings some rain. Edit: It did look more impressive today on the Vis image than the Ir. Edited by user Sunday, 10 December 2023 9:09:33 PM(UTC)
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Oh here we go..surprise surprise..not really.. JTWC now has it tracking south of Cairns...quite a big change from the previous track.. https://www.metoc.navy.m...jtwc/products/sh0324.gifWouldnt be at all surprised to have it right through my backyard. Edited by user Monday, 11 December 2023 12:15:26 AM(UTC)
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It's a crazy cyclone. Or just the typical Coral Sea cyclone. JTWC doesn't usually show this many track changes. Looks like they have no idea either. Edit 5.40am BOM Advice 3 now has track at Port Douglas as a Cat2. JTWC still on Warning 23 with it crossing south of Cairns. Edited by user Monday, 11 December 2023 5:41:29 AM(UTC)
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and now JTWC have it back to that north of Cairns Bunyip track again... But BOM has also said it wont re-intensify as much so thats good news...might just turn out to be a wet and squally dud in the end really and lots of people will end up with truckloads of mouldy bread and spoiled milk.... and the FB weather influencers will no doubt have picked up lots of new paid subscribers for just posting up the same info that we have all been seeing for free... Edited by user Monday, 11 December 2023 6:32:20 AM(UTC)
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Waiting waiting waiting ....
Might put a few tools away today, get the boat out of it's shed and sit it on the ground. The boat shed will get squashed..
Sharpen the saws & spare chains.
Then back to waiting...
Cheers
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Originally Posted by: FNQ Bunyip
Waiting waiting waiting ....
Might put a few tools away today, get the boat out of it's shed and sit it on the ground. The boat shed will get squashed..
Sharpen the saws & spare chains.
Then back to waiting...
Cheers
Yeah thats all you can do mate.. Hopefully doesnt create too much of a mess with your trees and garden though.. During Larry and Yasi I just parked by bigger boat outside away from trees and put the bungs in added some water..apart from being full of leaves it was all good....smaller boat I left in the shed during Yasi and because of broken windows my concrete mixer blew over and busted the motor cowl ... Since Yasi I have significantly fortified the shed and would likely even bunker down in the granny flat flat inside the shed if we get a cat 4 or 5 here again.. This blow is a bloody long and slow wait isnt it..
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Originally Posted by: scott123 Yeah, Scott, I was going to say it’s not looking good for you given everyone is saying it’s going to hit Cairns.
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At least we can sought of follow the centre on the radar now. Fine and sunny in White Rock this morning. Edit at 8pm: Full overcast here but still no wind or rain. Edited by user Monday, 11 December 2023 8:19:51 PM(UTC)
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Pretty weird day today, ended up bloody hot and hasn't cooled down that much either. Ground is still dry as a bone, wonder if this will cause excess runoff and leaf litter etc blocking drains etc. |
Dodgy records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm
Jan 24: 449.6mm
Feb 24: 350mm
Mar 24: 152mm |
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Originally Posted by: ronfishes Pretty weird day today, ended up bloody hot and hasn't cooled down that much either. Ground is still dry as a bone, wonder if this will cause excess runoff and leaf litter etc blocking drains etc. Not as hot today as it has been. Dead calm a lot of the time, no breeze. Grass and weeds started shooting after that week of rain we had -- and kept going and going, so yards are green again. Almost ready for a mow. Crazy for Chillagoe. We had the first band of rain pass over us early evening, probably around 5-5.30pm. Must've evaporated before it reached the ground. Felt a few specs, then nothing. A few bands have passed over us since, and nothing. BOM says Palmerville and Chillagoe will get the damaging wind gusts, so everything but a couple chairs and small tables has gone into the shipping container. Neighbours haven't bothered with anything... At 7.49 pm the BOM has Jasper crossing north of Port Douglas. JTWC Warning 26 which should be updated soon, also has it crossing near Port Douglas. Looks like they're starting to agree with each other.
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1030pm and just starting to get a little bit gusty with the odd spot of rain.
Same here Ron, the front yard is past dry and crispy, it's dead.
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Got 1mm in the gauge this morning, amazing. A few dark clouds around and the wind is starting to swing around to the SE.
JTWC and BOM have it crossing near or north of Port Douglas while GFS still near Cairns.
They're forecasting up to 140k/hr tomorrow, that could be interesting.
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Fair jump north on the last BoM map ..
Had a brief shower a bit earlier but stuff all wind or rain yet..
Waiting waiting
Cheers
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Just received a leave immediately alert for people living in the Cairns storm surge red zone. There must be something happening. Luckily we're in the yellow zone here.
Gusty with showers now and then here at the moment.
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