Still stuck in the same weather pattern. High 20°- 31°C about the East and maybe a little hotter inland towards Ipswich and surrounds.
Today may see less shower activity than previous days but there is a very slim chance, and I do mean slim chance of maybe a thunderstorm or thundery showers this afternoon.The winds this afternoon should swing around to the North East and feed into any possible cells or showers that may manage to form.
Below is Windy’s GFS take on the probability.



And the forecast sounding as can be seen below. There is not a lot of instability to be seen and it has a small cap of about 1°C to overcome .. Not an ideal setup for a storm but maybe a rumble or two embedded in some scattered showers. Just have to wait and see the actual sounding when it is released.

Some decent cells/showers on the radar this afternoon. Due to the lack of steering winds they are moving slowly and dropping some good rain.

A STW is out for Heavy Rain just to the west of here including the Darling Downs.

Edited by user Wednesday, 14 February 2024 3:06:17 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

They were replacing power poles yesterday so I didn’t have power for most of the day.
But today starts with a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Heavy rain.

Today will see some heavy rain at times. A trough over Eastern and Southern Queensland will strengthen today and a weak upper trough will cause heavy rainfall mainly towards the East. This should start to ease off over the weekend.

The storm warning below with some of the rain totals.

STW at 2:00 pm

Over the last few days, no matter which way I looked at the modelling system there was no clear cut storm and the models had showers/rain ( saturated levels in the atmosphere appearing on the skewT. )

So today it looks like we could get showers and rain at times and maybe an embedded storm, possibly severe in places.

Here is the charts from Yesterday with the sounding then the current t 512K radar sweep.

As the afternoon progresses more storms will develop within the rain train.
The latest STW

Last day of summer today and it is still hot with temperatures in the 30’s. The beginning of Autumn is still on track as per the last post to remain hot and in the 30’s until next week.

It has been a hot, extremely humid summer along with many records broken all for the wrong reasons. The amount of moisture in the air with the perceptible water in a weather sounding was broken resulting in flash flooding with the storms and heavy rain. We had the most humid nights ever recorded with the feel like temperatures on many nights sitting in the low to mid 30’s. Day time temperatures had feel like temps of high 30 and some into the 40°C mark. This was all due to the moisture in the atmosphere giving us some of the highest dew points we have seen for a long time.

At this stage it does appear that we are tracking towards or back into a La Niña phase this Autumn/ Winter. So if it follows the trend we should see milder nights and cooler day time temperatures. But in saying that the weather pattern around the world has really bucked the trend and presented some extraordinary weather.

The best thing that we can do is be prepared for whatever is thrown at us, and the only way is to keep an eye and ear on the weather and look out for any extreme events that may arise and if they arise!

Latest STW

Latest STW