Pretty cool here over the last couple of days too RWM. Some distant rumbles now with a small, meaty looking cell heading for Howard. I might get a smidge tonight.

WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....11 OCT 2019 TIME....0730

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...17.1C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........73%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......12C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...SSE 8Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....25KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1019.1Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........2/8 Cu, 1/8 Cb ( to N ), 6/8 Sc.
CURRENT WEATHER......Distant showers
RAIN SINCE 0900 THURSDAY..0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......24.1C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......12.2C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..-2.75C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....12.1C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......12C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1018.9Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....E 36Kph at 1124
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Smoke haze, showers developing to distant north.

WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....12 OCT 2019 TIME....0900

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...12.7C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........93%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......12C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...W 14Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....10KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1015.0Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........3/8 St, 2/8 Cu, 8/8 As..
CURRENT WEATHER......Slight continuous rain
RAIN SINCE 0900 FRIDAY..53.6mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......23.6C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......12.6C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..-2.80C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....12.6C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......13C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1015.9Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....E 29Kph at 1306
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Thunderstorms from late Friday afternoon and into the evening.
Slight showers and rain areas overnight, heavier showers and rain areas early morning, easing to slight rain by 0900.

Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 13 Oct 2019
Time: 9:00 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 10.4 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 21.3 C
Min Ground Temp: 8.9 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 1.2 mm

Temperature: 20.8 C
Relative Humidity: 45 %
Dew Point: 8.5 C
MSL Pressure: 1017.8 hPa
Wind Speed: 9 kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: SSW

Present Weather: No cloud development observed
Visibility: 40km or more - Excellent Visibility
Cloud Cover: 0/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 12/10/19: Light showers and rain at times from 4 am, brief heavy falls at 7am, easing at 9am, returning in the late morning and clearing at midday. Cloudy with cu, sc and as clouds clearing at midday with some cu and ac clouds. Sluggish and near average temperature early before falling after sunrise. The minimum temperature (11.8 C) was reached at 8:41 am before the temperature rose. In the late morning the temperature stabilised before rising in the afternoon. Below average maximum temperature and was a cool day. A cool evening with the temperature falling below the minimum temperature that occurred the morning. Stable and near average dew point early before falling from sunrise before stabilsing during later in the morning and then rose through to midday. In the afternoon the dew point fell and became stable and moderately low though to the evening. Relative humidity was stable and high from early falling in the afternoon and became near average from the afternoon. Light winds were generally WSW to SSW winds becoming light and variable early, WSW to SSW from 6 am, and slightly gusty W to SW light winds from mid-morning. Winds were S to SE in the late morning then WSW to S in the afternoon, SSE in late afternoon and became calm in the evening except for some S to SW winds.

Today: In the early hours the temperature was stable before rising with sunrise. A cool morning. The temperature at 9 am was 20.8 C and was slightly below the maximum since 9am yesterday ( observed at 2:52 pm). Moderately low and stable dew point early today before rose slightly in the early morning and is now near average. Relative humidity was near average overnight and moderately low during today. Relative humidity was stable for several hours in the early hours of today. Calm winds became light WSW to SSW since 4 am.

Event total: 27.9 mm (monthly total of 28.6 mm is 42.5% of the long term average and 66% of the long term median).

Near average temperature today but was a little variable. Dew point became moderately low and falling slowly before rising in the afternoon and is now stable and near average. Moderately low relative humidity today and a little variable in the afternoon. Light SSW to W winds, became E to SE in the afternoon, S to SE tonight and is now calm.

Last 24 hours:

Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 14 Oct 2019
Time: 7:40 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 12.2 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 26.4 C
Min Ground Temp: 10.9 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 18.6 C
Relative Humidity: 62 %
Dew Point: 11.1 C
MSL Pressure: 1019.4 hPa
Wind Speed: 3kph - light air
Wind Direction: SSW

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 40km or more - Excellent Visibility
Cloud Cover: 2/8
Ground State: Ground moist

Notes of yesterday weather - 13/10/19: Fine. Sunny morning with some cu clouds developing from later in the morning and partly cloudy at times in the afternoon. Stable temperature in the early hours and a cool morning. Variable day-time temperature. Stable and moderately low dew point early rising slightly in the early morning and then falling from mid morning to mid afternoon. In the afternoon the dew point while becoming near average stabilised from the late afternoon and fell slowly in the late evening. Moderately low daytime relative humidity. Light W to SW winds and then WSW to SSW from the early morning, SSW to SSE in the early afternoon, becoming SE to ENE from mid-afternoon. SSE to ESE from late afternoon and light and variable winds at times in the evening.

Today: A cool morning. A brief rise in temperature at 2am. Dew point have been stable before rising in the last 2 hours close to average. Near average relative humidity. Calm winds early today and S to SW winds in the last hour.

Great stuff Ken and thank you for the excellent details on why think this things will happen.

That's actually a 40% chance of any rainfall rather than a 40% chance of 1mm. The probability figure is always for the chance of any rainfall and is separate from the possible amounts section.

Above are some EC outputs. The little lightning symbols represent lightning potential. You can also easily where the front's position is on the wind streamlines maps.

Temperature was rather variable today but close to average day-time temperatures. The dew point have been near average today, rose this morning, more slowly during the day and have been stable since mid afternoon. Near average relative humidity today. E to ENE winds today, ESE to NE from mid afternoon and N to NE tonight.

WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....15 OCT 2019 TIME....0720

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...19.5C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........89%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......18C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED...N 11Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY.....30KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1015.3Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........3/8 Sc, 7/8 Ac - decreasing.
CURRENT WEATHER......No significant weather
RAIN SINCE 0900 MONDAY...1.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......24.4C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......17.9C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+0.25C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....17.8C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......16C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1016.6Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS....E 32Kph at 1535
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...Thunderstorms started after midnight, ceased around 0400.