Hi Ken,
That is excellent. Thank you for sharing and a lovely way to show the data.

Nice to see a bit more humidity around and some warmer temps this weekend too!

Edited by user Wednesday, 11 September 2019 3:04:09 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

According to Google forecasts (Weather.com), stull sunny skies ahead

Unfortunately GFS has been one of the outliers among the models, being more aggressive than many of the others with the moisture so I’m not too excited about it atm.
But we’ll have to wait a few more days to see what future runs bring.
Looks better the further south you go along the NSW coast though.

Fingers crossed. A drop of rain to settle the dust would be very welcome!

Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 12 Sep 2019
Time: 7:35 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 6.9 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 23.4 C
Min Ground Temp: 4.9 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 12.6 C
Relative Humidity: 77 %
Dew Point: 8.6 C
MSL Pressure: 1028.2 hPa
Wind Speed: Calm
Wind Direction: Calm

Present Weather: Clouds generally forming or developing during the preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 1/8
Ground State: Ground moist

Notes of yesterday weather - 11/9/19: Fine. Sunny early with some sc clouds clouds before becoming partly cloudy with cu clouds developing from later in the morning and easing in afternoon. Moderately low dew point early before rising in the early morning becoming stable from the late morning while fluctuating at times and rose slowly to near average in the late afternoon. In the evening the dew point fell slowly moderately low. Daytime relative humidity fluctuated but was near average. Light and variable winds early becoming S to SW in the early morning S to SE from mid morning and ESE to SSE from late morning. In the evening winds became variable before easing to calm later in the evening.

Today: This morning minimum temperature was the lowest for September in 2 years (lowest since 5.1 C on 16 September 2017). Light SW winds in the last half hour after calm winds overnight with the temperature falling very steadily given the calm winds. Dew point have recovered to near average in the last hour after being moderately low overnight and relative humidity have been near average.

I found a wonderful image on BOM website (everyone has already probably found it) for sea temperatures for SEQ, which got me thinking. Wouldn't shallower costal waters be warmer than the deeper sea off of the continental shelf.
Is it colder night time temperatures of the land reducing the temperature of water near the land, or is it the current off shore are bringing warmer waters down and costal water appear to be coming up from the South.

Coastal temps are around 20 or 21 degrees, but further offshore it is 22.

Edited by user Thursday, 12 September 2019 6:50:31 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

That excellent. Thank you for the excellent explanation on sea temps. That reminds me of an old physics lesson when I was at school when we dropped blue coloured cold water into red hot water and watched the two mix.

Also, great graphs. The Forecast comparison for accumulated precipitation really does show the Americans (their model anyway!) are on a different path to the other models. I think you called it more aggressive in an earlier post.

I am crossing everything for the Ensemble to happen, or at least provide something exciting to watch.

The US model has actually often been one of the more conservative models in the past when it comes to rainfall amounts.

Edited by user Thursday, 12 September 2019 10:00:09 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 13 Sep 2019
Time: 7:50 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 7.7 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 25.1 C
Min Ground Temp: 5.6 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 14.4 C
Relative Humidity: 65 %
Dew Point: 7.9 C
MSL Pressure: 1021.3 hPa
Wind Speed: Calm
Wind Direction: Calm

Present Weather: No cloud development observed
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 0/8
Ground State: Ground moist

Notes of yesterday weather - 12/9/19: Fine and partly cloudy. Cu clouds developing during the morning and easing later in the afternoon. A cold morning and fluctuating temperature from mid morning to mid afternoon. Dew point fell in the early hours moderately low before rising in the early morning to near average before quickly falling back to moderately low where it was generally stable through to the late afternoon. In the late afternoon the dew point rose to near average and then slowly fell later in the evening and became moderately low. Moderately low daytime relative humidity. Light S to WSW winds in the early morning before SSE to ENE winds from the mid morning before light and variable winds from the late morning. E to SE winds in the mid afternoon, ENE to NE in late afternoon and N to NW in the evening.

Today: The dew point have been falling and have started to rise but is moderately low. Winds have mostly been calm with some occasional light wind of variable direction.