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Showers have started coming in from the SE this afternoon. Hasn't done that for a while. Something is changing. About 10mm here today so far. Edit at 1930: GFS pointing to a south of Townsville crossing with about 955hpa central pressure at the moment. Edited by user Sunday, 21 January 2024 7:38:52 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Sheridan Mist  GFS pointing to a south of Townsville crossing ECMWF seems to agree now too. JTWC hasn't offered anything yet.
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Another 80mm this morning :) knocks over the frist meter for the year..
yes all seem to be looking just south of Townsvile at this stage, good to spread the destruction around a bit.
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52mm overnight.
YTD: 342mm
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only 5.5mm for me overnight nice change.
Bunyip you look set to cement a 3rd golden gumboot in a row, you are already pulling a big lead over other super heavweights tully and babinda. |
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14mm overnight here. Just enough to keep things nice and boggy. A nice big band of blue sky to the south looks good though.
YTD: 614.5mm
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Originally Posted by: Gone tropo
Bunyip you look set to cement a 3rd golden gumboot in a row, you are already pulling a big lead over other super heavweights tully and babinda.
Having a bit of a stalk at Bunyips rainfall chart one can see over 3200mm for December/jan so far...not sure when the rain started up there but here it was about the 12 dec if thats the same for daintree then thats just 40 days at about 80mm per day average..... and it doesnt look like any repreive anytime soon with the monsoon trough doing its thing..... its truly astonishing really..almost 2000mm more then what we have received down at Tully in 40 days..just Wow..!
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The low is still looking quite disorganised out there. It's probably why JTWC hasn't shown much interest yet.
A couple of light showers just keeping it damp so far today.
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Originally Posted by: Sheridan Mist The low is still looking quite disorganised out there Yes, it's been looking disorganised. Was still looking disorganised on Earthwind an hour ago, but looking at it right now it's starting to tighten up. https://earth.nullschool...phic=-205.41,-15.16,1676Edit: It was looking elongated, and still is but becoming steadier. Everyone has it landfalling Townsville or slightly south, between 2pm and midnight. JTWC still hasn't called it. What do they know that no-one else does...? Edited by user Monday, 22 January 2024 7:24:39 PM(UTC)
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It looks that way 28, crossing seems to be getting a little closer to Townsville. Predictions are for a bit less intense at the moment of around 980hpa. Edit: Bit of good news, BOM forecasting no rain for tomorrow or Wednesday for Cairns. Edited by user Monday, 22 January 2024 8:20:22 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: 28degrees Looks as though its starting to stack up vertically on there, still looks a like dog threw up on the sat pic. |
Records for
2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm
2024: 1884mm (no records April-Sept) |
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Originally Posted by: ronfishes Originally Posted by: 28degrees Looks as though its starting to stack up vertically on there, still looks a like dog threw up on the sat pic. Very succinct summary of the latest JTWC advisory 😁
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It is ironic that JTWC is showing a bit more interest in it because of it's ongoing disorganisation. Edit: First morning in 14 days with an empty rain gauge. Edited by user Tuesday, 23 January 2024 10:19:52 AM(UTC)
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JTWC have suddenly got all excited and called it a cyclone . Amusingly it’s called 07P as bom haven’t named it yet.
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Remarkably there was 4mm in the gauge. All this rain has made weeding easy, for a change. Edit: Dry day, blue skies and a scattered cloud. Looks like a few dry days ahead. JTWC's Advice 2 has it crossing at Bowen. It could still be anyone's guess... But JTWC are usually right. :-( Edited by user Tuesday, 23 January 2024 7:40:09 PM(UTC)
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Thanks 28. The water vapour image is clearly showing the dry air being drawn into our area tonight.
JTWC are normally pretty good. I like their explanation of things.
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Still looks like dogs vomit on sat |
Records for
2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm
2024: 1884mm (no records April-Sept) |
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Things still the same this morning. The low still looks like the dog's breakfast, still going nowhere and crossing near Townsville. And no rain here. Edit: A little bit more action starting to show on the Willis Island radar. Edited by user Wednesday, 24 January 2024 2:29:56 PM(UTC)
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No rain again overnight. Full high overcast with a bit of light stuff at the moment. It looks like most of the rain is north of it.
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