Very ordinary days weather wise here for the last few days. Today started out like we were going to have an overcast and showery day but it ended up clearing to a mostly sunny day and the skies are lovely and clear tonight. There is a nice cool breeze outside. There are storms showing on the radar out near Boonah and down to the NSW border.




It certainly was an interesting El Nino event (that is now over as posted by Colmait above) this time. It started off hot and dry and then the rainfall started and seemed to go on and on. Wonder what the La Nina will bring this year.

The rain started here mid to late morning today and has been steady light to almost heavy rain since then with only a couple of short breaks in between. For the first time this Autumn I have needed to wear a cardigan this evening when going outside.

The Mt Stapylton Radar image from 8.10 pm this evening shows how widespread the rain is.



Tomorrows Brisbane forecast is for a very high chance of rain (up to 30mm) with the chance of a thunderstorm and a max temp of only 23°C.

Another cool day today with a forecast max of 25°C. There is quite a strong breeze blowing on and off this morning and the sun is poking through the clouds from time to time. Unfortunately though, there are more showers forecast for today.

That is very cool that the Toowoomba radar is up and running. We like going to Toowoomba from time to time on the weekends to do some shopping and sightseeing (a nice change from Brisbane) and it will give us another option to check the weather before going and while there. I imagine it will also be a good way to check on developing storms in more detail (this is from the viewpoint of someone who is definitely not a weather expert unlike most posters on the Weather Forum

It is lovely to have a sunny blue sky this morning. It also feels a bit cooler this morning compared to the last few mornings.

Today has a forecast max of 27°C.

Another lovely Autumn morning this morning. Clear blue skies and a nice cool temperature. The minimum this morning was around 16°C and looking at the BOM 7 day forecast the minimums should stay around 16 or 17 dropping to 14°C by next Friday.

Today has a forecast maximum of 25°C and as mentioned by Colmait in the above post the maximums for the next week are for 26°C and under which will be very pleasant.

There is the possibility of showers though for today and through to Tuesday unfortunately . Our yard certainly does not need any more showers as the ground is already well watered from the endless weeks of showers we have had.

Well we certainly have had cooler days this week with the temperature only reaching a maximum of around 22/23°C today, and tonight actually feels cold (to me anyway). And the showers and rain are still hanging around.

What I have noticed the last couple of weeks with this weather (when it is not raining) is the amazing variety of cloud formations and lovely sunsets.

Today was very nice weather wise with a maximum of nearly 25°C and no showers here. The evenings are definitely cooler now. Around 4.30 to 5 pm you can definitely feel the coolness in the air most days now, and at times during the day there has been a cool breeze.

Hopefully I am allowed to post this photo. This was one of the skies with different cloud formations last week that I mentioned in my previous post.



As forecast by BOM for Brisbane today there is the chance of a thunderstorm. I have just checked the radar and indeed there are some storms at the moment down the Gold Coast and inland a bit (south of Boonah). Here is the radar image from this evening at 7.41pm.

Well today has turned out totally the opposite from what was expected. I will eat my hat now

BoM revised their forecast after 09:00 this morning, There is a lot more shower activity around. Below is the 128 and 64K radar sweeps for the heavy showers that have passed through this afternoon.

This week has been a good example to show how you cannot fully lock in a predicted forecast model. The system that was supposed to bring some rain to the Southern area of Queensland has slid further to the South. Although for this area of the thread we definitely had a few days of some good heavy showers and especially around Springbrook.

The 2 Ridges, an upper and lower ridge over Queensland have been the main drivers for the weather in Southern, while down NSW, 2 very strong Highs in the Tasman Sea have driven the weather pattern there.

So for Queensland, (in this area of the thread and NE NSW), we should still see some showers ramp up a little over the next 2-3 days, just in time for the weekend, then it will quickly clear to the East then followed by warmer weather especially on Monday with a top of 26-27°C expected. Likewise Tuesday and Wednesday should see higher than average maximum temperatures. (25-26°C.)

On the flip side, due to cloudless nights for Monday and Tuesday, the minimum temperature should be about average for this time of year until cloud starts to roll back in on Wednesday afternoon.

I have posted below the 2 forecast models highlighting the difference seen within 5 days.

1st forecast model from Monday.



The revised model from this morning, Friday 10 May.



The WATL chart for showers over the weekend



Cheers and have a good weekend.

Edited by user Friday, 10 May 2024 6:25:33 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

That is true Colmait. My husband and I have been saying that we can't remember having such unpredictable weather like we have been experiencing the last few months. The forecasts don't seem to be able to be relied on as much anymore.

The last two days of mostly sunshine have been very enjoyable though and we are really feeling the cooler nighttime temperatures now.