According to the latest BOM forecast for the Brisbane area we may see some heavy rainfalls in the coming days, especially on Monday and Tuesday next week.

A flood watch warning was issued by BOM this afternoon for some of the South East Qld catchment areas:



Initial Flood Watch for the South East Queensland Coastal Catchments

Issued at 2:39 pm EST on Friday 9 August 2024

Flood Watch Number: 1

ISOLATED MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE FLOOD WATCH AREA FROM MONDAY

A coastal trough is expected to develop along the northern NSW and Southern QLD coast from Sunday. This trough is likely to deepen along the coast from Monday into Tuesday with heavy rainfall increasing. A low pressure system may develop on the trough on Tuesday.

Catchments within the Flood Watch Area are moderately dry.

Rainfall will increase about northern Queensland later on Sunday and is expected to move south and intensify from Monday into Tuesday. Heavy rainfall is forecast over the Flood Watch Area from Monday until Wednesday morning.

There is a significant uncertainty in the timing and location of the rainfall, although the coast and adjacent ranges are most likely to see the heaviest falls.

Localised river level rises and flash flooding are likely within the areas of heaviest rainfall, with isolated minor to moderate riverine flooding possible.

Due to the localised nature of the heavier falls, at this stage it is not possible to be more specific about the areas of highest flood risk.

Flooding may result in disruption to transport routes and isolation of some communities.

Catchments likely to be affected include:
Mary River

Noosa River

Sunshine Coast Rivers and Creeks

Pine and Caboolture Rivers

Upper Brisbane River

Lower Brisbane River
(Specifically the Bremer River and Lockyer, Laidley and Warrill Creeks)

Logan and Albert Rivers

Gold Coast Rivers and Creeks


See www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings to view the current flood, weather and cyclone products for Queensland.



It will be nice to have some rain again as the ground is really starting to dry out, but it is lousy timing, happening at the same time as the Ekka.

Plenty of rain around the south east now. This is the BOM's Mt Stapylton 512km radar image at 3.31pm this afternoon:





BOM has issued a number of current warnings for this rain event, including flood warnings, marine wind warning, hazardous surf warning and a coastal hazard warning.

By the modelling systems it almost appears winter is over and Spring is arriving slightly early. Some warm to hot days ahead and minimums are rising as well.

But this has happened in recent years and it is hard to say for sure that this is the last of the cold weather. Even last year, Spring seemed to arrive early only for the cooler weather to hang around well into October, then unfortunately we were smashed with very hot and humid weather. Our weather patterns have definitely changed. Records are being broken every year.

I will definitely be keeping an eye on this years storm season to see how it will unfold. For the SEQLD there is nothing showing up, but over the border, Lismore could see a storm Wed/Thursday this week.

Thank you for the update @Aussie Girl. We were down in the Hunter Valley and the winds were extreme as well as very hot and dry. This summer has me on edge. I think at this stage, if things are to continue, this will be a summer of fires again.

One of the Cellar staff had just returned from Perisher after a snowboarding holiday. She said that the snow was so patchy that the were jumping over grass patches. I was watching other snow fields and they had closed the season down. The rain, heat and wind just wiped the snow right out.

Still seems to be a few grass hopper days were temperatures will be very hot and then drop back down to 23 - 24°C then back into the high 20’s and low 30’s before the start of the summer season.

While the East of Australia struggles with high temperatures and damaging winds, over in Southern WA they are predicting snow today. Very crazy.

Finally arrived back from the Hunter Valley this afternoon. We got up early so we could hit the road and do the trip in 1 day. My wife and I were sitting on the balcony at farm stay at Mitchells Flats, about 38KM from Muswellbrook. At 05:58 the 4.5 M earthquake at Muswellbrook hit. I have been through a few so it was an interesting way to end the stay. No damage there, just a jolt and shaking.

On another note, we were listening to the radio on the way back and we had tuned into the Taree radio station and they were stating that the have not backed burned anywhere near the quota required throughout NSW. A great concern down there.

The weather down there was much the same as Brisbane which is very unusual for the area. We had 2 cold nights and one cool day. The rest of the days were min of 13-17°C and 24-31°C for maximums.

Below is the GEO science report of the quake this morning .

Due to the existing high and a new High that will develop in the South of Australia (The Bite), and troughs in Queensland moving around and developing then moving off the Coast, ( so much going on with high and lows ) our weather for the next week or so, for this area of this thread is going to see cooler daytime temperatures, warmer minimums and a few showers, with maybe a possible rumble or two embedded in some of the showers.

I was going to upload the 8 day WATL forecast rainfall totals but it is still trying to finish the end of its model forecast. But it looks like we may see 20-30 mm over the next 7 days on average at this stage, with some areas, under the right band of showers possibly receiving higher totals..

Edited by user Tuesday, 10 September 2024 9:39:48 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified