Cells popping up in many places now. The 128K and 256K sweeps of the Mt Stapylton radar at 13:32.





The latest STW.

Hi Aussie Girl,

Pretty impressive sweep on the radar there. Thanks for sharing.

Thunder and lightning over our area just North of Brisbane atm. Last night we had a pretty good storm that lingered on for a while, it cleared around 02:30 and finally got a bit of sleep.

We currently have a nice feeder band driving a train of showers and storms from way out west as can be seen on the 512K radar.

Tomorrow is still looking like a good storm day as well.

Some big storms firing off and some damage already being reported. Looking at the sounding for today and once again storms will just fire off as there is no caps, lots of shear, the atmosphere is primed.

Listen and act on any warnings you hear and see.

Todays Sounding at the Brisbane Airport.

Unfortunately BoM have missed the mark once again with their warnings. They have completely missed or ignored the heavy rainfall down on the Gold Coast with heavy rain and flash flooding in some places. Storms are working their way towards the Coast yet no warnings have been issued for heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding.


Here are the warnings





Current radar of the storm systems and 1 hour rain totals as at 16:09





Also the doppler showing very strong winds outside of the warning zone.

Edited by user Wednesday, 9 October 2024 4:22:52 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Latest STW. Mudgeeraba. received 87mm in 1 hour which caused flash flooding. But other areas also received high rain rates.

Some pictures from Morayfield this afternoon.







Sorry if I sound like I am BoM bashing but it is of a serious concern.

Edited by user Wednesday, 9 October 2024 6:20:19 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

I found it very interesting reading the ABC news with regards to BoM’s lack of a warning for the Gold Coast, they only issued a warning well after the storm had struck. But the Lord Mayor was quoted, and rightly so as per the article

. Gold Coast mayor Tom Tate said the Bureau of Meteorology failed to provide an adequate warning to residents.

He said a severe weather warning was issued on Wednesday after the storm had already hit.

"They just got to do better and review it — if the software isn't giving them the right information, start looking around," he said.

"I know Mother Nature's unpredictable, but gee, you don't send people that it's going to rain when it's already pouring down."

Bureau of Meteorology has been contacted for a response.

https://www.abc.net.au/n...h-flooding-ses/104454054

The same can be said for Morayfield. It was not up to scratch and posed quite a risk for many residents and business owners. For whatever failure on the part of BoM may have been, it needs to be rectified rapidly as we head into storm season.

Edited by user Thursday, 10 October 2024 1:15:04 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Was going to add more but enough said on my part.

A bit of lightning and a few rumbles with the showers/ weak storms moving from the SW this afternoon.
Tuesday 14:36 15 October

The modelling system shows possible weak storms again for today. But due to a few factors it is like relearning how to forecast some of these storms due to the changing climate.

I was listening to the news after the large storm system from last week and the failure on BoMs part to issue warnings. But I am not not going to dwell on that, what was interesting was the comment made by a meteorologist working for a private company, we used to al be on the old WZ forum, and as he stated it is becoming a lot harder to forecast these storms and how severe they may become. I have to totally agree.

So even though today seems to be on the weaker side of the scale, just keep an eye or ear open for any possible warnings.

Below is what the stormcast is giving us .

A slight chance for a bit of a storm on Saturday going off the models. It is not lighting the page up with what we are used to, but there is the potential. It will come down to real time observations and the actual Sounding on Saturday to know for a certainty. So I am just putting it out there for anyone to keep an eye and ear open for any potential storms and if they do eventuate and become severe to be ready.

The sounding itself at this stage has a bit of capping to break and the Lis and cape are at their highest on the coastal border of QLD and NE NSW.








Below is EC take on the potential, it has it a little further North.



It really is a wait and see. It has been a while since we have had a “Wow this is going to be massive storm day” showing up on the modelling. There was only a few storm days last summer that you thought this was going to be big and it was. A total new pattern seems to be emerging.