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SE QLD and NE NSW - Day to day Weather 2024
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Water temperatures around Australia are very warm and therefore feeding an extreme amount of moisture into the atmosphere. The results of this is hot and muggy ( oppressive) weather where the apparent temperatures will make it feel a lot hotter than the actual temperature. This could also fuel some storms over the next few days, especially Sunday and Monday as the models are favouring towards . But they could also fire off today, so once again just keep an eye and ear open to forecast and warnings if storms build. As for the long term weather pattern, Australia is mid way between a La Niña and a Neutral weather pattern. It is being monitored closely to which way it may tip. Below is the current water temperature anomalies. Along with this I have also posted the long term weather drivers up until April 2025.    |
Colin Maitland. |
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Not sure if GFS has taken some medication, but it’s latest run is showing a possibility of storms for nearly everyday this week. Sometimes the morning run is a little overcooked so I will wait to see what this evening run throws out.
But to be honest due to the heat and moisture the potential is there. So no to sound alarms and be over the top, just please keep a watch out for forecast and if storms develop for any warnings. There is the potential for a couple of nasty ones but they may die off with the next run. That is why I am not putting any charts up yet.
The possibility for a storm later this afternoon/ evening still looks strong along with Monday. A lot can change in 24 hours or less weather wise.
Stay safe and stay cool, it is a hot and muggy week ahead. |
Colin Maitland. |
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A couple of cells trying to fire off. Moisture was the big problem as can be seen on the sounding. But as evening approaches hopefully the NEasterly seabreeze can add some moisture and gives us a bit of a reprieve. Below is the Sounding, the radar sweep and the Storm warning for southern queensland.    Edited by user Sunday, 8 December 2024 5:55:38 PM(UTC)
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Colin Maitland. |
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STW for the cells approaching Springbrook and surrounding areas.   Strong winds are the main concern as can be seen on the doppler sweep.  |
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The Southerly change is sweeping through as can be seen on the doppler,( the yellow wind ).  The storms that are moving through with the change are pretty lightning active. Should be a nice breeze hit the Metro and Northern suburbs of Brisbane very shortly.   |
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It was one of those extremely muggy hot nights just as the previous summer was like. Just using the Brisbane observations, the minimum temperature did not drop below 25°C all night. The apparent or feels like temperature sat at above 30°C most of the night just dipping before dawn to approximately 29°C. Our area of observations was pretty much the same as Brisbane CBD.  |
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Storms firing off just to the West of us. Storm warning and radar imagery.   |
Colin Maitland. |
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Latest STW and radar imagery. 73 mm of rainfall recorded at Mt Mowbullan in the 1 hour to 6:45 pm    Edited by user Monday, 9 December 2024 7:14:53 PM(UTC)
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Colin Maitland. |
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Just so much moisture in the atmosphere. Latest STW with some of the rainfall totals.  |
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Originally Posted by: Colmait  It was one of those extremely muggy hot nights just as the previous summer was like. Just using the Brisbane observations, the minimum temperature did not drop below 25°C all night. The apparent or feels like temperature sat at above 30°C most of the night just dipping before dawn to approximately 29°C. Our area of observations was pretty much the same as Brisbane CBD.
It sure was an extremely muggy and hot night on Sunday Colmait and Sunday itself was very unpleasant temperature and humidity wise. We are lucky to have air conditioned bedrooms as I wouldn't be able to sleep otherwise with those oppressive night time temps and humidity. Looks like we are in for some more rain today. This is the 256k Mt Stapylton Radar image at 11.10 am this morning. 
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Hi Aussie Girl, definitely has been terrible but todays rain has been very welcomed as you could feel the temperature drop with the change. We have seen some sort of storm activity everyday since Saturday throughout different areas of this thread . This afternoon there is a small clearing storm coming through with some lightning and thunder currently over Toowoomba. Storms are still a possibility right through this week due to the instability and humid weather. Friday is still looking impressive but it is still a few days out. Tomorrow should start telling us what we could see, storm or rain. But it has been one of the better setups for a while. Niw I have said that the models will change.   Below is Lightning tracker and the 256K Mt Stapylton radar .   Edited by user Tuesday, 10 December 2024 3:43:28 PM(UTC)
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Colin Maitland. |
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