Not sure if GFS has taken some medication, but it’s latest run is showing a possibility of storms for nearly everyday this week. Sometimes the morning run is a little overcooked so I will wait to see what this evening run throws out.

But to be honest due to the heat and moisture the potential is there. So no to sound alarms and be over the top, just please keep a watch out for forecast and if storms develop for any warnings. There is the potential for a couple of nasty ones but they may die off with the next run. That is why I am not putting any charts up yet.

The possibility for a storm later this afternoon/ evening still looks strong along with Monday. A lot can change in 24 hours or less weather wise.

Stay safe and stay cool, it is a hot and muggy week ahead.

STW for the cells approaching Springbrook and surrounding areas.





Strong winds are the main concern as can be seen on the doppler sweep.

It was one of those extremely muggy hot nights just as the previous summer was like. Just using the Brisbane observations, the minimum temperature did not drop below 25°C all night. The apparent or feels like temperature sat at above 30°C most of the night just dipping before dawn to approximately 29°C. Our area of observations was pretty much the same as Brisbane CBD.

Latest STW and radar imagery.


73 mm of rainfall recorded at Mt Mowbullan in the 1 hour to 6:45 pm

Edited by user Monday, 9 December 2024 7:14:53 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

It sure was an extremely muggy and hot night on Sunday Colmait and Sunday itself was very unpleasant temperature and humidity wise. We are lucky to have air conditioned bedrooms as I wouldn't be able to sleep otherwise with those oppressive night time temps and humidity.


Looks like we are in for some more rain today. This is the 256k Mt Stapylton Radar image at 11.10 am this morning.

I had been saying a few days that Friday was shaping up to be a big storm day but it was quite a few days out and it is too early to say for sure which way it would go, why even 2 days ago it was looking quite impressive. But in the last run it really took a turn and downgraded itself a fair bit. There is is still a chance for storms but at this stage, if they fire off, they fortunately do not appear as severe as what it was first showing, which is good news if it stays that way.

Saturday is looking a good possibility as well but once again we need to see what happens with the latest run.

This was the output from last Sunday and as is the case it was a a long way out to lock anything in.





This is the latest run from today, (Thursday) for Friday, and you can see it has really backed off a lot, even Wednesday run was looking a lot stronger. That is why you have to be careful in trying to say a storm is likely and it is going to massive etc.





But keep an eye and ear out as there is potential in the coming week due to the high humidity and heat for storms to maybe form in the different areas that this thread covers .

Severe Storm Warning currently out.

Heavy rain hit last night and ramped up in the early hours of this morning, Tuesday 17 Dec.

Storm warnings were issued as below.





We recorded a 111 mm as at 06:00 this morning
.
There are many road closures around the South East due to flash flooding.

Below is some of the hardest hit areas in the Brisbane Metropolitan area.



Showers and storms are still a high possibility while the remnants of the Low is still sitting on the Queensland Coast.
The low is definitely weakening by the Satellite imagery.

Definitely feels like a sauna Aussie Girl. Ridiculous amount of humidity with the apparent temperatures making it feel like 6°C hotter than it is in many places. The current heavy showers with lightning is helping to drop the temperature slightly right now, 11:08 am.

Currently there are some embedded storms in the passing showers as can be seen on the lightning tracker. A few rumbles over our area.

Latest STW