Some very decent showers this morning. A few bands crossings the Southern part Queensland Coastal areas from the Southeast and sweeping up to the Northwest.

Cooler weather coming up over the weekend and into next with average temperatures now predicted.



BoM have a 50% chance of another La Niña event developing as the ocean temperatures are rapidly dropping from 50 -150 feet below the surface. As upwelling continues the surface temperature will likewise drop. 50% is high for this early on the development stage for BoM .

It is almost an assured thing. Although NOAA had predicted this almost 3 months ago with the anomalies they noted in some areas that were rapidly cooling in the Pacific Ocean and in pockets around Australia.
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Edited by user Thursday, 16 May 2024 7:53:29 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

I haven't posted for a few days as I have been too busy enjoying this beautiful weather

I agree Colmait that Sunday was a perfect day weather wise. It was such lovely weather on the weekend and gave us a chance to catch up on some much needed yard work now the yard is drying out again after those (what seemed like) months of wet weather.

Yesterday was also absolutely perfect weather wise. It was a day off so we took a drive out to the Lockyer Valley and spent some time at a dam/lake out that way. The sky was so clear and blue and the mountains looked just magnificent against that blue sky. Sitting with our backs to the sun, soaking up its warmth without getting too hot and watching the amazing variety of water birds on the still and calm lake was a wonderful way to spend the afternoon. My idea of perfect weather.

The nights and early mornings are definitely quite cool now and driving home this afternoon I noticed clouds are starting to pop up again.

Looking at the BOM forecast for Brisbane for the next few days the highest expected maximum is 25°C and the lowest minimum is 12°C. Only one sunny day forecast (Thursday), with Wednesday and Friday having some clouds and showers are expected for Saturday.

Well it looks like the first day of winter is going to be a wet one for SEQ. Saturday is forecast to have a very high chance of rain with Brisbane receiving up to 20mm.

The maximum temperatures forecast for early next week are in the very low twenties with minimums of between 10 and 12°C. Monday and Tuesday are forecast to be sunny so they are looking like being lovely early winter days with blue sunny skies and cooler temps.

A thick fog blanketing over Brisbane again due to the moisture and humidity in the air. This was over our Suburb at 0615.





Rain has been on the forecast for most states of Australia with today, Saturday to be the heaviest. You can see the rain trough building to the West of Brisbane this morning on the radar. Then some colder weather to settle in for the next week.

Edited by user Saturday, 1 June 2024 6:54:17 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Two coolish mornings in a row with both days, Tuesday and Wednesday dropping to single digits. This morning, Tuesday was 8°C with a feel like temperature of 6°C.

After the upper trough that is currently sitting over Southern Qld moves East, we should feel a burst of Westerly winds late Friday afternoon/ evening and into Saturday. With a top of 21°C predicted for Saturday you can guarantee the wind chill should make it feel like around 16-17°C.

Definitely enjoying this weather after the brutal summer we had.

Cheers

Colin

I agree Colmait, the days are absolutely beautiful at the moment.

Looking at the BOM forecast for the Brisbane area for the next week, it appears we will be having more of the same lovely weather through into next week. Sunny/mostly sunny days with maximum daytime temperatures between 21 and 23°C. The forecast minimums are between 8 and 10°C.

A few more above average temperatures expected over the next 5 days due to a persistent high over Queensland. Sunday will be the warmest as winds shift around to the Northeast and Northwest bringing very warm air with it. Temps should on Sunday peak around 26°- 27°C then drop back a little on Monday before a cooler change arrives on Tuesday.

A real mixed bag of weather once again with showers and sunshine, warm to hot temperatures for June/ July before settling back down. I think this could be the normalcy of this winter. Much the same happened in the USA during their winter.

Cheers

Colin

A massive polar front should hit the Southern States of Australia from approximately the 12 July 2024 and work its way up into Queensland by Monday.

All going well, we should see some good snowfalls associated with the system.
Below is Meteye’s take on the event. At this stage it is peaking towards the end of the run on Wednesday so it will be interesting to see the next updated run as well.

BoM have now hoped on board and in the Queensland forecast they have given the Granite Belt as slight chance of snow flurries on Tuesday-Thursday. 16-18 July.

As we get a bit closer we should get a better picture of how far North this Polar cold snap has made its way.

Another burst of cold Arctic air will make its way into the Southern States by Saturday/ Sunday and into Southern Queensland late Sunday afternoon/ Evening. Daytime temperatures at this stage for this part of the thread, should be around the average for this time of year, but the windchill will make it feel cooler. The minimum temperatures are where we will feel it the most. We should see most areas in the single digits or into the -0°C’s.

This is all due to the Sudden Stratospheric Warming, or SSW that happened a couple of weeks back over the Antarctic . The SSW will drive our weather pattern well into spring. So the warm temperatures that BoM had spoken about last Mach never really eventuated. Once again the overseas modelling systems handled the forecasts way better. I am not BoM bashing. I just feel, like many others that the weather patterns are rapidly changing and some of the older modelling systems are not keeping apace with it.

Stay warm.