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Offline 28degrees  
#121 Posted : Saturday, 4 January 2025 6:26:55 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Sheridan Mist Go to Quoted Post
ABC headline, "Heatwave for Australia's South-East, monsoon absent from the tropics". It seems a bit dry at the moment but last year we only had 18mm up until 12 Jan. There's still hope.BigGrin


I remember 2020.

No rain at Chillagoe. Left on 15 January for southern Victoria, expecting 45° heatwave but arrived to a very cold windy 15°> 🥶

Returned to Chillagoe 16 February - and completely missed our wet season. About 4 falls after I got back.
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Offline scott123  
#122 Posted : Saturday, 4 January 2025 6:42:10 PM(UTC)
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We got 30mm during the night from a storm a couple of nights back but as mentioned they are very isolated and it wasnt raining here this morning but we had to wait and hour or so this morning before setting up the IPSC course at the range at 8am this morning at Kurrimine..we had to even put garbage bags over all the paper targets till it stopped...the rain eventually moved off to the north and it became filthy hot and sunny but a great day for shooting..

Yeah still plenty of time SM...This is actually more what i have come to expect around here with storms through december/january and monsoon starting later in the month or febuary..December the past 2 years has been quite an anomaly..

Bit early on the barra fishing trip there Ron...Though we accidentally caught a couple off South Mission last week with my sons girlfriend catching her first ever going 75cm...she was pretty stoked..

hey Bunyip ..I agree with your sentiment entirely..i sure hope enough people realise it and vote Albo out for a start..the direction we are headed will ruin this country and just turn it into a sh!thole that so many others are becoming...

Edit at 7.40...Looks like a some cracking stormage has converged over Daintree/mossman for a while now..

Edited by user Saturday, 4 January 2025 7:42:41 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Sheridan Mist  
#123 Posted : Saturday, 4 January 2025 8:03:30 PM(UTC)
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Yeah Scott, just checked the radar and it looks like Port Douglas is getting a touch up at the moment. Bone dry here.

Edit: Doesn't seem to be any lightning out to the north.

Edit 2: Rex creek intake Mossman 216mm today.

Edited by user Saturday, 4 January 2025 8:27:06 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#124 Posted : Sunday, 5 January 2025 7:27:23 AM(UTC)
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Good morning weather watchers :)

Only 25mm here this morning, That storm was so close, I could see it on the other side of the river & range.
If you were watching on the radar, it was breaking up as it tried to push north, that is because of the
Dagmar range, that separates the Bamboo valley from the Daintree.

Yes the last 2 Decembers sure are not the norm or maybe it is now :)



Cheers


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Sheridan Mist on 5/01/2025(UTC), 28degrees on 5/01/2025(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#125 Posted : Sunday, 5 January 2025 2:14:41 PM(UTC)
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Never said anything about barra fishing Scott, nailed some solid jacks lately though, even though I still release them as well as any of the pink eye salmon bycatch.

Couple of showers have come through today, probably added up to a few mm.

Jesus 216mm is a nice little storm!
Records for
2023: 2710mm
2024: 1884mm (no records April-Sept)
2025: 1260.2mm Feb: 664.8mm
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Offline Sheridan Mist  
#126 Posted : Sunday, 5 January 2025 8:57:40 PM(UTC)
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We've got up to 4mm for the year so far, it's very similar to last year's start. Winds a little to southerly at the moment it seems.

Edit: Last year 5mm up to Jan 7.

Edited by user Sunday, 5 January 2025 9:13:27 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline scott123  
#127 Posted : Monday, 6 January 2025 8:42:39 AM(UTC)
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64mm here the past 2 days...

Like a year ago we have a similar trend in localised slow moving/stationary storms and showers producing large totals in some areas where other areas closeby almost miss out...

I left here yesterday in the dry and only got 3 km's up the road and El Arish and the canefields were practically underwater from a storm which had just passed heading north-east..and this morning there is a huge blob between innisfail and cairns with no doubt heavy totals around babinda..wonder if it will fizzle out or stay together and move on to cairns...?

Not a big fan to be honest as Cairns and Daintree found out last year and down Proserpine way a few weeks back, 500+ mm in a day can be just so destructive...Hope you are not right Bunyip and it just turns out to be a passing cycle...

Forecasts for the week ahead after today look pretty dry for the week ahead if that can be beleived..or maybe just in your neck of the woods SM...

Throwing back mangrove jacks Ron...?..Confused ...Doesnt happen on my boat mate...way too tasty for that nonsense...

Edited by user Monday, 6 January 2025 10:23:44 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Sheridan Mist  
#128 Posted : Monday, 6 January 2025 9:57:26 AM(UTC)
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7.5mm here after a drizzly night. Your right Scott, this time of year can be a lucky dip with storms. The lack of rain here made for a great christmas-new year. Bit hot though.

The blob is just starting to reach here, light to steady rain at the moment. It seems to be fizzling out as it gets near.

Jan: 8mm
YTD: 8mm

Edit: Kuranda railway station had 500+mm two days in a row in Jasper. The damage is very evident at the Barron River at Kamerunga Bridge. Swept clean there. Never seen it like that before.

Edited by user Monday, 6 January 2025 10:42:20 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Weary  
#129 Posted : Tuesday, 7 January 2025 6:01:21 AM(UTC)
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Well that was a nice 67mm last night. Nice to hear some proper rain on the roof.
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Offline Sheridan Mist  
#130 Posted : Tuesday, 7 January 2025 9:16:06 AM(UTC)
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68mm in the gauge here this morning. It was good to hear the rain on the roof again. The GFS not showing many signs of good monsoon activity in the next week or two at the moment.

YTD: 76mm

Edit at 1008: Another 21mm since 9 in a good shower. Not doing too bad when the forecast was 0-7mm for here.

Edited by user Tuesday, 7 January 2025 10:11:08 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline scott123  
#131 Posted : Tuesday, 7 January 2025 9:41:40 AM(UTC)
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141 mm here in the past 24...I see babinda has close to 400mm in the past 2 days..They might give Bunyip a run for his money this year..!
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Offline Sheridan Mist  
#132 Posted : Tuesday, 7 January 2025 8:01:54 PM(UTC)
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I think this pic shows the monsoon having trouble forming at the moment.

IDD67950 (1).png
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28degrees on 7/01/2025(UTC), FNQ Bunyip on 8/01/2025(UTC)
Offline scott123  
#133 Posted : Tuesday, 7 January 2025 10:59:57 PM(UTC)
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Yeah wow SM...check out those isobars hitting the QLD coast from the SE..

Looks more like a winter tradewind pattern of a high pushing across bringing SE showers and winds..

Like I mentioned before, while I'm surprised about the amount of rain in December, not having the proper monsoon set in till later in January or even early Feb doesnt really surprise me...

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28degrees on 8/01/2025(UTC), FNQ Bunyip on 8/01/2025(UTC), Sheridan Mist on 8/01/2025(UTC)
Offline Sheridan Mist  
#134 Posted : Wednesday, 8 January 2025 9:34:16 AM(UTC)
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22mm here this morning from that good shower just after 9AM yesterday. The yard was awash for a bit.

The GFS agrees with you Scott, it's still showing no monsoon activity and bugger all rainfall for at least the next 2 weeks.

YTD: 98mm

Edit: Just a thought, I can't remember one serious cyclone that crossed our bit of coast in January.

Edited by user Wednesday, 8 January 2025 7:52:46 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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28degrees on 8/01/2025(UTC), FNQ Bunyip on 11/01/2025(UTC)
Offline Sheridan Mist  
#135 Posted : Thursday, 9 January 2025 9:22:28 AM(UTC)
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It's looking a bit drier in our area in the short term by the look of this rainfall prediction by Tropical Tidbits.

gfs_apcpn_aus_41.png

Edit: Just checked the latest model run and it's looking a lot better for the second half of the month.

Edit 2: I see the 2024 rainfall for Babinda post office is in: 5723.6mm.

Edited by user Friday, 10 January 2025 4:54:14 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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28degrees on 10/01/2025(UTC), FNQ Bunyip on 11/01/2025(UTC)
Offline Sheridan Mist  
#136 Posted : Sunday, 12 January 2025 10:08:05 AM(UTC)
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La Nina declared by the US Climate Prediction Centre. I don't know what that means for us here, suppose to be wetter I think.

YTD: 98mm

Edit 1616hrs: Looking real stormy to the south at the moment, lots of distant rumbles.

6mm out of that noisy storm that passed just to the west.

Edited by user Sunday, 12 January 2025 5:26:44 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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28degrees on 12/01/2025(UTC), ronfishes on 13/01/2025(UTC), FNQ Bunyip on 15/01/2025(UTC)
Offline Sheridan Mist  
#137 Posted : Monday, 13 January 2025 11:00:13 AM(UTC)
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6.5mm here. That storm ran down the Redlynch Valley yesterday. Some nice totals there.

YTD: 104.5mm
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Offline ronfishes  
#138 Posted : Monday, 13 January 2025 5:40:30 PM(UTC)
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Ran around like a madman to get the lawn mowed yesterday afternoon, only to have the storm die off and reform to the north. Some more flangs last night sometime between 12-1:30. Haven't bothered to measure the few drops that fell.

Edited by user Monday, 13 January 2025 5:41:07 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Records for
2023: 2710mm
2024: 1884mm (no records April-Sept)
2025: 1260.2mm Feb: 664.8mm
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Offline Sheridan Mist  
#139 Posted : Monday, 13 January 2025 8:40:43 PM(UTC)
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Sorry to bang on about the GFS forecast but it's still not looking good for the rest of January. We're already down here 240mm from this time last year.

Last forecast from Tropical Tidbits.

gfs_apcpn_aus_64 (1).png

Things can change quickly in the tropics.BigGrin
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Offline scott123  
#140 Posted : Tuesday, 14 January 2025 8:02:51 AM(UTC)
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Looking pretty dismal there SM...

Very hot and boring weather isnt it...too hot to get out boating, hard to work in and now I'll have to start setting up sprinklers around the place to get stuff through to the next rainy period...

Like Ron I have run around preparing for storms that have never come...have even seen and heard the lightning to the south only to fizzle out before arrival...

Oh well, febuary never fails to deliver...
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Sheridan Mist on 14/01/2025(UTC), 28degrees on 14/01/2025(UTC), FNQ Bunyip on 15/01/2025(UTC)
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